Game 24: Severino vs. Tillman

New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Joey Rickard, RF
Brett Gardner, LF Manny Machado, SS
Alex Rodriguez, DH Adam Jones, CF
Mark Teixeira, 1B Chris Davis, 1B
Brian McCann, C Mark Trumbo, RF
Carlos Beltran, RF Matt Wieters, C
Starlin Castro, 2B Pedro Alvarez, DH
Didi Gregorius, SS Jonathan Schoop, 2B
Chase Headley, 3B Ryan Flaherty, 3B
Luis Severino, SP Chris Tillman, SP

Continue reading Game 24: Severino vs. Tillman

The Anatomy of Losing 9 of 12

As of this writing, the Yankees are a bad team. Over the past two weeks, they are – by winning percentage – the third worst team in baseball. It’s no secret, to be sure, but it still feels strange to put it in writing, and see the words staring back at me. The worst part of it may well be that the Yankees are bad at everything right now.

How did we get here?

The Yankees are batting .223/.280/.327 in their last 12 games. That’s a 69 wRC+, good for 28th in the Majors over that time. They’re four points behind the 27th place Dodgers in that metric, so we can’t spin it to say that they’re bunched up with several other teams, either. The team’s .104 ISO is 29th over that same time, ahead of only the lowly Braves. That mark is particularly egregious, as well, as six of those twelve games were in the Bronx, with the other six coming in hitter-friendly Fenway Park and Globe Life Park in Arlington. This may be due to the team’s 27.8% hard-hit percentage, which ranks 26th in the league. And the once patient offense also ranks 26th in BB%.

During this time, Alex Rodriguez (172 wRC+), Starlin Castro (132), and Jacoby Ellsbury (121) have been quite good (if not great). The next-best hitter, however, is Austin Romine, with an 86 wRC+ in 10 PA. Then come Mark Teixeira and Brett Gardner, both sporting a 64 wRC+. The team’s fourth and fifth best hitter’s have slashed a combined .206/.301/.269 in the last two weeks.

Add that all together, and the Yankees are dead last in runs over the last two weeks, with 32 – six behind the 29th place Braves. That’s 2.4 R/G. And the pitching staff has been equally as offensive, pitching to a 5.31 ERA.

Masahiro Tanaka posted two strong starts in that span, and Nathan Eovaldi spun a gem. Despite this, the Yankees starters have a 5.08 ERA during this stretch, as CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, and Luis Severino combined to allow 25 ER in 35.2 IP.

The justifiably hyped bullpen has been even worse, with a 5.73 ERA. Andrew Miller has been lights out in five appearances, and Kirby Yates and Nick Goody have performed well, too. The rest of the bullpen has allowed 22 ER in 24.2 IP – that’s an 8.03 ERA. And, as Stacey recently pointed out, not even Dellin Betances has been immune to this stretch of horrors.

To be fair, the Yankees defense has almost certainly hindered the efforts of the pitching staff. The team ranks 26th in UZR/150 at this juncture, and 28th in Defense Runs Saved. Or, if you prefer non-advanced metrics on this side of the ball, the team has made 6 errors in the last twelve games – a number that does not include some notably poor routes taken by Ellsbury and Aaron Hicks. And this from a team that has largely prioritized defense over the last few years.

An obvious caveat applies here – it’s only May 3rd. Twelve games represents just over 7% of the season, and the team has been bad in the early goings before. The staff’s ERA is more than a run above its FIP, and nearly two runs ahead of its xFIP. Despite the hideous ERA, the pitchers are still 1st in the Majors in GB% during this stretch, 2nd in BB/9, and 12th in K/9. And the defense should rebound, given the reputations and histories of … well … everyone, save for Carlos Beltran.

There is reason for hope when the Yankees take the field.

The offense, however, remains incredibly disconcerting. This may well be a prolonged cold spell (it has been below-average for most of the season, after all) – but this is an older team, with only two regulars under the age of 32. I do not expect this group to continue to battle for a spot in the bottom third of all offenses, but its days as a top-tier team may be over.

Again, though, I am not panicking. And you shouldn’t, either. If that time does come, it will be a few weeks from now, if not a couple of months. But the frustration is palpable at this point, and a glass half-empty approach is more than reasonable. Continue reading The Anatomy of Losing 9 of 12

Thin Hope And Acceptance

The 2016 season of the New York Yankees has not gone well. Those of us who watch the games every day have a sense of doom every inning, every pitch, every at-bat and every bullpen decision. Nothing has gone right and everything has gone wrong. Joe Girardi‘s body language in the dugout looks like a man being leeched by some 19th Century doctor. For this generation of Yankee fans, this is unprecedented and shocking. Perhaps, what is needed is a new perspective to get us over these troubled waters.

First of all, this is a fan generation that has not seen a Yankee team with a losing record since 1992. That first season under Buck Showalter saw a team finish ten games under .500 and twenty games back from first place. This is also a fan generation that has not only seen consistent above .500 teams but also teams that only failed to make the playoffs three times since 1995.

You all know that such sustained success is impossible right? You understand it is also unnatural, right? That kind of run doesn’t happen in sports. Perhaps the closest thing to that kind of sustained success would be the New England Patriots. And sooner or later, that run will come to an end too. It has to. Continue reading Thin Hope And Acceptance

About Last Night: The good, the real ugly, and what’s wrong with Betances?

Last night’s game was frustrating, maddening, and pathetic to watch. The Yankees’ offense, which had been the bane of the team’s existence for most of this young season, actually broke out in a good way in Fenway Park against Red Sox starter David Price, but Nathan Eovaldi decided to follow up his near no hitter performance in Texas last week with a positively dreadful performance in Fenway that ruined the Yankees’ chances of snapping a four-game losing streak, and instead, extended it to five. The Good Alex Rodriguez is suddenly not dead, you guys! It’s amazing how 35 plate appearances Continue reading About Last Night: The good, the real ugly, and what’s wrong with Betances?

Game 23 Quick Recap: BOS 8 NYY 7

There was heavy rain in the forecast all of last night, and there were questions as to whether the Yanks and Sox would get last night’s series finale in.  A rainout would have been a better outcome for the Bronx Bummers, as they gagged away another one late to drop the series, their 5th straight game, and their record to a lowly 8-15 on the season.

It was all about blown leads for Yankee starter Nathan Eovaldi.  He was given a 3-1 lead in the 3rd after a Jacoby Ellsbury RBI double and a 2-run home run by Alex Rodriguez and he promptly blew it in the bottom half by giving up 3 runs on 4 singles and a walk.  The offense came back with 3 runs in the 5th on a 2-run double by A-Rod and RBI single by Mark Teixeira, and Eovaldi blew that lead in the bottom of the inning by serving up a 2-run homer to Travis Shaw.  For once it wasn’t the offense’s fault.  They gave Eovaldi plenty of run support and he couldn’t make any of it stick.

The 6-6 tie lasted until the bottom of the 7th, when Ivan Nova sandwiched 2 outs around a Shaw base hit and exited for Dellin Betances.  Betances has been scuffling lately with some poorly placed curveballs, but it was the heater that failed him last night.  Christian Vazquez was sitting fastball on the first pitch and Dellin threw one right down the pipe.  Vazquez hit it for the go-ahead 2-run shot, giving him his first home run of the season and the Red Sox the sweep of the series.  The Yankees scratched a run across on a double and a wild pitch in the 8th, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.  5 losses in a row, 9 of the last 12, and 13 of the last 17.  Truly pathetic stuff. Continue reading Game 23 Quick Recap: BOS 8 NYY 7

Game 23: Eovaldi vs. Price

New York Yankees Boston Red Sox
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Mookie Betts, RF
Brett Gardner, LF Dustin Pedroia, 2B
Alex Rodriguez, DH Xander Bogaerts, SS
Mark Teixeira, 1B David Ortiz, DH
Starlin Castro, 2B Hanley Ramirez, 1B
Chase Headley, 3B Travis Shaw, 3B
Aaron Hicks, RF Brock Holt, LF
Ronald Torreyes, SS Christian Vazquez, C
Austin Romine, C Jackie Bradley Jr., CF
Nathan Eovaldi, SP David Price, SP

Continue reading Game 23: Eovaldi vs. Price

Game 22: Pineda vs. Porcello

Chase “Deadball Era Power” Headley has not had an extra-base hit since September 27, 2015. That’s a stretch of 24 games and 92 PA with nary a double, triple, or home run. That being said, he is a career .286/.333/.571 hitter against Rick Porcello, with a double and a home run in 15 PA. Could tonight be the night that he rediscovers some semblance of pop?

New York Yankees Boston Red Sox
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Mookie Betts, RF
Brett Gardner, LF Dustin Pedroia, 2B
Carlos Beltran, RF Xander Bogaerts, SS
Mark Teixeira, 1B David Ortiz, DH
Alex Rodriguez, DH Hanley Ramirez, 1B
Brian McCann, C Travis Shaw, 3B
Starlin Castro, 2B Brock Holt, LF
Didi Gregorius, SS Christian Vazquez, C
Chase Headley, 3B Jackie Bradley Jr., CF
Michael Pineda, SP Rick Porcello, SP

Continue reading Game 22: Pineda vs. Porcello

Game 21 Quick Recap: BOS 4 NYY 2

I didn’t catch a second of this game and I’m really glad about that.  Feels like I’ve already said that 2 or 3 times this season.  That can’t be a good thing.  Whatever, the Yankees aren’t a good thing either.  They stink.

Masahiro Tanaka was a beast for the first 6 innings, holding the Red Sox lineup to 3 hits and no runs.  He tired in the 7th, put a few runners on, and Joe left him in the game one batter too long.  Jackie Bradley Jr. hit a 2-out, 2-run double off the Green Monster to tie the game at 2 and end Tanaka’s night.

Dellin Betances was ready to enter in the 7th and Joe didn’t go to him.  He came out in a tie game in the 8th and served up his second straight home run to a left-handed batter, David Ortiz to be specific, to put the Yankees behind 4-2 and take the loss.  From a 2-0 lead with 2 outs in the 7th to a 4-2 deficit in a handful of batters.  Those are the type of games the Yankees expect to win, but the bullpen formula failed this time.

– The offense was non-existent again.  A-Rod hit a solo home run early, Starlin Castro went 2-3 with a triple, and Brett Gardner had 2 hits and a ribbie single.  The rest of the team went 1-18.

Chase Headley Watch: 0-3 at the plate and made his second error of the season in the field.  He’s hitting .140/.265/.140.

– The Yankees have scored 74 runs in 21 games.  They’ve been held to 2 or less in 11 of those 21 games.  It’s pathetic.  It really is. Continue reading Game 21 Quick Recap: BOS 4 NYY 2

Game 21: Tanaka vs. Owens

New York Yankees Boston Red Sox
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Mookie Betts, RF
Brett Gardner, LF Dustin Pedroia, 2B
Carlos Beltran, RF Xander Bogaerts, SS
Mark Teixeira, 1B David Ortiz, DH
Alex Rodriguez, DH Hanley Ramirez, 1B
Brian McCann, C Travis Shaw, 3B
Starlin Castro, 2B Brock Holt, LF
Chase Headley, 3B Ryan Hanigan, C
Didi Gregorius, SS Jackie Bradley Jr., CF
Masahiro Tanaka, SP Henry Owens, SP

Continue reading Game 21: Tanaka vs. Owens