Following up: Place of birth vs. Testing Positive

The table below lines up the information provided by ESPN (Players, by country, who have tested positive for PEDs, since 2005) with the birth information provided by B-R (Players birthplace, since 2005). I added in the % Variance column, which compares the % by birthplace to the % PEDs. A negative number indicates the % of PED use (or guilt) exceeds the relative composition by birthplace. For example, players born in the Dominican Republic accounted for 11.4% of all MLB players in 2005-06, however they accounted for 23.6% of the guilty PED tests. I also Indexed the % Variance to also show how Latin America’s been disproportionately accounting for guilty PED tests. A score of 100 means their PED test % equals their place of birth %. A score below 100 means lesser percentage of players from that country have tested positive than are in MLB during this time. A score above 100 indicates a higher degree of testing positive than the country accounts for in MLB composition.…

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Busting on Buster

Atlanta Braves: Can John Smoltz, Tom Glavine and Mike Hampton take the ball for 85-90 starts? Can Rafael Soriano stay healthy?

Are you kidding me? If Smoltz and Glavine each make 33 starts, you mean to tell me anyone would expect, in their right mind, that Hampton returns from 2 years recovering from injuries to make 20+ starts? Call Vegas; I will take the under.

Baltimore Orioles: We know the Orioles are rebuilding. If Erik Bedard is going to be traded, which seems inevitable, then who, besides Nick Markakis, can be serve as a root in that effort?

If Peter Angelos just let his “baseball people” do their “baseball things”, this once-proud franchise would be in a better position that it is now, which is likely one of looking UP at the Rays, which was unthinkable just a few years back.

Boston Red Sox: Will J.D. Drew bounce back from a subpar first year with the Red Sox? He fared well in the last two rounds of the 2007 postseason.

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Dana Jacobson update: Suspended

While it’s fun to mock the drunken ramblings of the talking heads on TV… nevermind, it’s just fun. I’ll spare ya the high-road thoughts.

Previous postings on this subject:
That wild Dana Jacobson
Mike & Mike video surfaces

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UPDATE: It’s all fun and games when mocking drunk ramblings of a sports figure, until it’s made public how dumb, ill-advised, morally bankrupt those ramblings really were.

Jacobson’s comments at the Roast have been further exposed, setting religious peace back a few decades. Nice work, Dana. No matter what you think, no matter how much alcohol you have consumed, there is no excuse for dropping the F-bomb like this:

Jacobson, reportedly intoxicated, was speaking at a celebrity roast in Atlantic City, N.J., when she unleashed a profane tirade, saying, “F— Notre Dame,” “F— Touchdown Jesus” and finally “F— Jesus.”

Now, I think Jacobson is Jewish (as am I) and that sort of diatribe is unacceptable. I don’t want to get even further off-topic, but that’s reprehensible.…

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Bitter truths and tough perceptions

All that as pre-ramble, I came across Neyer’s blog (Insider access required, sorry) today and it was about Jorge Posada‘s unreal year last year at age 35. Of note in the short blog was the point that:

Posada entered last season with a .270 batting average and batted .338. Today I’ll offer one truly easy prediction: Posada won’t reach even .300 this season.

How could I disagree? But to me, the elephant in the corner is the fact that a catcher had a career year at age 35, clearly well past the productive career arc of nearly all catchers who have ever played, period. With all the hubbub surrounding the Yanks and PEDs, how can we not cast a crooked eye at this spike? Neyer’s blog is not about this sort of speculation but I sure can.

The article that Neyer references also mentions this:

…his .389 BABIP which was roughly .040 points above his expected BABIP. [BABIP = Batting Average on Balls In Play]

Luck clearly was on Jorge’s side but reliance on luck is a dangerous thing.…

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