Over/Under for 2009

I am totally stuck down a rathole on the BodogLife.com site. Here are the Over/Under lines for Team Wins for 2009. Have fun!

AMERICAN LEAGUE

  • Baltimore Orioles 71
  • Boston Red Sox 94
  • Chicago White Sox 78
  • Cleveland Indians 85
  • Detroit Tigers 81
  • Kansas City Royals 75
  • Los Angeles Angels 88
  • Minnesota Twins 83
  • New York Yankees 95
  • Oakland Athletics 82
  • Seattle Mariners 72
  • Tampa Bay Rays 88
  • Texas Rangers 74
  • Toronto Blue Jays 79

NATIONAL LEAGUE

  • Arizona Diamondbacks 86
  • Atlanta Braves 84
  • Chicago Cubs 92
  • Cincinnati Reds 78
  • Colorado Rockies 77
  • Florida Marlins 75
  • Houston Astros 73
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 84
  • Milwaukee Brewers 80
  • New York Mets 89
  • Philadelphia Phillies 88
  • Pittsburgh Pirates 67
  • San Diego Padres 70
  • San Francisco Giants 80
  • St. Louis Cardinals 82
  • Washington Nationals 71

Remember, the lines are for betting purposes, not prediction! So which would you place your mortgage on, if you had to? I think the Reds and Giants can hit the over.

Also, for the cynical ones out there, I am not (I repeat NOT) being paid to link to Bodog. I just find this stuff interesting.

Continue reading Over/Under for 2009

Vegas' view of the hot seat

According to BodogLife.com, here are the managers on the hottest of seats and their odds on being first to be fired:

Which of these MLB Managers will be the first to be fired by their respective team?

  • Jim Leyland (DET) 2/1
  • Ron Washington (TEX) 3/1
  • Bud Black (SD) 5/1
  • Joe Girardi (NYY) 5/1
  • Cecil Cooper (HOU) 15/2
  • Clint Hurdle (COL) 13/2
  • Bruce Bochy (SF) 10/1
  • Bob Melvin (ARI) 10/1
  • Bob Geren (OAK) 10/1
  • Jerry Manuel (NYM) 15/1
  • Ozzie Guillen (CWS) 15/1

Continue reading Vegas' view of the hot seat

Tomko, Gardner Moves Prove Yankees Are Playing Smart

The Yankees won a lot of games during the Joe Torre era. When you win a lot of games, you tend to default to the “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” strategy for roster building. The Yankees happened to win with guys like Luis Sojo, Billy Traber, Enrique Wilson, Ruben Sierra, and Joe Torre. I could name more Torre-era mistakes, but that’s not important. It took a new manager and a loosing season for the Yankees to break old conventions and establish a smarter strategy. The Yankees do not need a long reliever. They have five healthy starting pitchers Continue reading Tomko, Gardner Moves Prove Yankees Are Playing Smart

Revisiting The Gary Sheffield Trade

According to MLBTR, the Tigers released Gary Sheffield today, eating the 14 million dollars he is owed for 2009 rather than have him remain on the roster. This got me to thinking about the trade that the Yankees made with the Tigers after the 2006 season, in which the Yankees sent Sheff to Detroit for Humberto Sanchez, Kevin Whelan, and Anthony Claggett. The Yankees had traded for Bobby Abreu close to the trade deadline in 2006, a season in which Sheff played 39 games. This made Sheffield a spare part, and many believed the Yankees would decline the 13M dollar Continue reading Revisiting The Gary Sheffield Trade

Lasorda refuses to consider Piazza & PEDs

I hate to come across as simply bashing Lasorda just because he so far past his prime, but man, he is just so off base here.

“I don’t believe that at all,” said Lasorda, the longtime Dodgers manager. “He worked so hard. I saw him in the weight room working out all the time. Whatever (is in the book) is hearsay. I just don’t believe it. He comes from a family that’s full of good people.

“I wouldn’t comment on it if I didn’t feel strongly about it. He has too much to lose. And he’s such a nice young man. He goes to church, he’s got a nice family. I know him. I know what kind of man he is and I just don’t believe it.”

So if you’re nice, go to church and have a family full of good people, there’s NO WAY you could do PEDs? Is that so, Tommy? What say you about Pettitte? Wasn’t Chad Curtis the biggest bible-thumper for years? By all accounts, the Giambi brothers are good guys, too. And Italian!

Tommy, this sort of argument is what the stat guys have been facing with regards to the scouts for years: spare me your stories and tales and show me the data. Right now, Pearlman is putting up the data with at least one named player shining the light on Piazza.

Saying that “he worked too hard” to use PEDs is silly and beyond basic as a defense. PEDs don’t turn a bad ball player into a HOFer, but they will boost a good player into something more. You still have to hit a round ball squarely. Tommy, my suggestion for you: You can tell everyone you doubt the claims but don’t sign on as his defense attorney.

Thanks to The Common Man for the “Grandpa Simpson” idea via the comments.

Continue reading Lasorda refuses to consider Piazza & PEDs

Albaladejo convincing Girardi

Jonathan Albaladejo appears to have a stranglehold over the final bullpen spot after a strong spring. Obviously, if he makes the team, that would mean that the Yankees would not carry a long reliever (despite Joba’s innings cap). Now, Albaladejo is a solid option, however, I wonder why he would make the team over someone like David Robertson. This spring, Albaladejo has struck out 8 and given up 1 ER over 9 2/3 IP (1 BB). Meanwhile, over 6 2/3 IP Robertson struck out 10 and gave up 1 ER (3 BB). Albaladejo’s numbers are certainly better, overall, but Robertson’s Continue reading Albaladejo convincing Girardi

Ramiro Pena Overkill

I linked to this article on Ramiro Pena yesterday, suggesting that we use caution when discussing a prospect who has seemingly come out of nowhere. Pena hit only .266/.330/.357 in Trenton and has never been higher than AA, yet Madden still felt that it was prudent to write the following: Fact is, Pena has always demonstrated world class defense since being signed by the Yankees out of Mexico in 2005, but his improvement with the bat is what’s elevated him to legitimate major league prospect status. “When I first saw him three years ago, you could knock the bat out Continue reading Ramiro Pena Overkill

Hurry back, Dontrelle

Dontrelle Willis has had a rough go of it the last few years. He’s gone from the emerging “face of the game” to an afterthought in Detroit. At least the doctors now think they have an explanation, even if it’s not the explanation:

Willis cited blood tests that were conducted earlier this month that raised concerns. Research suggests there are no lab tests to diagnose an anxiety disorder, but such tests can be used to look for physical causes for symptoms, ruling out other factors.

Willis said doctors told him that the condition is easily treatable…
[…]
Several Major League players have gone on the disabled list with conditions grouped under anxiety disorders. Perhaps the best-known case in recent years is Royals starter Zack Greinke, who abruptly left Spring Training in 2006 and eventually went on the DL with what was diagnosed as social anxiety disorder. He missed most of the season before returning late in the year, but has recovered to become a top young starter in the American League. Pete Harnisch and Jim Eisenreich are also listed among the better-known baseball players who have had anxiety disorders.

I sure hope that he responds well to treatment and we can get back to seeing the real Dontrelle again soon. Continue reading Hurry back, Dontrelle

BA Checks In On Montero and DeLeon

Baseball America’s Ben Badler recently penned a brief writeup on some Yankees minor leaguers after watching a spring MiLB game. His words about Jesus Montero’s defense and Kelvin DeLeon’s plate discipline were far from encouraging: Jesus Montero doesn’t have too many doubters about his abilities at the plate. On Friday Montero showed excellent bat speed that allows him to let balls travel deep into the hitting zone, power to all fields and a knack for putting the barrel to the ball. While there aren’t too many 19-year-olds who can hit like Montero, the industry consensus is that the young Yankees’ Continue reading BA Checks In On Montero and DeLeon