Answering Jeter’s defenders

Talking to fellow Yankee fans or listening to sports talk radio, you hear the same arguments being made over and over again by those who take Jeter’s side in these negotiations. I’ll recount them one by one and try to answer them as succinctly as possible.

“They paid Kei Igawa/Carl Pavano/insert bum here XX mil and they can’t pay Derek?”

This is the ‘repeat your mistakes’ argument. They made a bad deal here or there, so why not repeat it with Derek, who’s been a terrific Yankee. There are many problems with this argument, but I’ll try to sum it up this way. None of these people would be making this argument if it was their money being spent. Further the Yanks are very rich, very financially sophisticated bunch. This should provide the answer as to why they don’t do stupid things with their money, at least not intentionally. Giving a 36 year old who already looks washed up an above market 4 to 5 year deal would be taking most of that money and setting it on fire.… Click here to read the rest

Answering Jeter's defenders

Talking to fellow Yankee fans or listening to sports talk radio, you hear the same arguments being made over and over again by those who take Jeter’s side in these negotiations. I’ll recount them one by one and try to answer them as succinctly as possible.

“They paid Kei Igawa/Carl Pavano/insert bum here XX mil and they can’t pay Derek?”

This is the ‘repeat your mistakes’ argument. They made a bad deal here or there, so why not repeat it with Derek, who’s been a terrific Yankee. There are many problems with this argument, but I’ll try to sum it up this way. None of these people would be making this argument if it was their money being spent. Further the Yanks are very rich, very financially sophisticated bunch. This should provide the answer as to why they don’t do stupid things with their money, at least not intentionally. Giving a 36 year old who already looks washed up an above market 4 to 5 year deal would be taking most of that money and setting it on fire.… Click here to read the rest

Spot The Problem With This Graphic

The following graphic represents the BIS data from 2002-2005 that is used as the basis for statistics such as UZR and +/-. The three plots represent all batted balls for those seasons, broken down by batted ball type. The graphic displays a major flaw in the current defensive metrics that are based on batted ball data. Can you spot the issue (I will post the answer in the comments)?
[image title=”data charts” size=”full” id=”23292″ align=”center” linkto=”full” ] … Click here to read the rest

Minor League Recap: Staten Island Yankees

Curtain Calls:
Gary Sanchez (c): Sanchez’s strong performance in the Gulf Coast League led to him playing sixteen games with Staten Island.  He put up some of the stronger offensive numbers on the team during his short time there.  His line was .278/333/.426/.759.  He hit two doubles and two homers, driving in seven RBIs.

Garrison Lassiter (3B): Lassiter led the offense for Staten Island during his 39 games.  He hit .285/.389/.325/.714.  He struck out 29 times, walked nineteen times and drove in ten RBIs.

Michael O’Brien (SP):Over eleven starts, O’Brien went 6-2 with a 2.08 ERA.  He gave up nineteen runs (fourteen earned runs), walked just eighteen hitters while striking out 38.

Chase Whitley (RP): This year’s fifteenth round pick has shown some sleeper potential in his first season of professional ball. Whitley gave Staten Island some strong innings out of the ‘pen.  He went 4-2 over 34.1 innings of work (28 games).  His 1.31 ERA was accompanied by 44 strikeouts and just fifteen walks.… Click here to read the rest

Yankees Lack Flexibility This Offseason

For purposes of this discussion, we have to operate under the assumption that all three of the Yankee standards (Jeter, Mo, Pettitte) will return–because even if the Yankees think they won’t, they risk serious fallout were they to add insult to injury by signing a SS or CL before negotiations with Jeter or Mariano conclude–or if they go out and sign (gulp…) two starting pitchers before Pettitte officially retires. The Yankees current agenda isn’t going to include filling these slots until they know that they’re truly open.

It’s already been penciled in that Posada will likely be a part-time catcher/part-time DH this coming season–which would open the door for a signing or a trade if the Yankees weren’t fully stocked in the minors (Montero, Romine, J.R. Murphy, Gary Sanchez are all solid to incredible prospects.) That means the Yankees can’t go out and try to find themselves a bargain at DH, which is typically a good spot to underpay for value (Guerrerro and Thome stick out the most in 2010, and there are any number of candidates in 2011).… Click here to read the rest

The Case for Cooperstown: Bernie Williams

Because of the on going Derek Jeter negotiations (they show up in every article, huh?), I’ve been thinking a lot about the last player the Yankees took a hard stand on: Bernie Williams. Like Jeter, he was an icon of the team. He’d spent his whole career with the Yankees, winning four World Series titles, as well as winning a batting title in 1998. He also led the league in intentional walks in 1999, which just goes to show you how “feared” a batter Bernie was (that one’s for you, TSJC & Jim Rice)

When perusing Bernie’s stats, we realize that he was a pretty damn good hitter. He had a .371 wOBA out of centerfield to go along with a 125 OPS+. He averaged 3.9 bWAR per 162 games as well. This got me pondering the idea of Bernie having a Hall of Fame chance when his time comes in a year? My gut reaction was always no. But, since I’ve got an at least partially analytical mind, I decided to jump into the numbers and compare Bernie to the 17 HOF centerfielders to see if Bernie has a shot.… Click here to read the rest

How the Yankees have fared on their big contracts

While its fun to speculate, the reality of the Yankees hot stove situation is that Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera will be jerks about this, but they’re not going anywhere, and it is unlikely that Cliff Lee lands anywhere else because few other teams in baseball can pay anyone $25 million a year. Only the Yankees can stop the Yankees. If the team is willing to expand its payroll about $25 million then all the team’s offseason targets will eventually come under tow. If it’s unwilling to expand its payroll then Yankee fans will still have one hell of a ballclub to root for in April.

Given that I believe Cliff Lee is about to become the latest Yankee to join the ranks of the amazingly overpaid, I began wondering how the Yankees have fared on these budget buster deals. Baseball wise this is the right move, especially for a ball club that can eat a bad season or two as well as the Yankees can.… Click here to read the rest