Farewell to Arms: Despite Being Shutout of Off Season’s Best Pitchers, Greinke Deal No Cause for Panic

(The following is being syndicated from The Captain’s Blog) Everybody knew that Zack Greinke would be traded before Spring Training, but the suddenness of the deal, not to mention the destination, was somewhat of a surprise. However, despite attempts to suggest the contrary, the Yankees were not caught off guard by the transaction. As soon as Cliff Lee finally made up his mind, Greinke trade rumors became the new fuel for the hot stove. Because the Yankees and Rangers were both jilted by Lee’s decision, the natural assumption was that both would be the front runners for the Royal’s ace, but Continue reading Farewell to Arms: Despite Being Shutout of Off Season’s Best Pitchers, Greinke Deal No Cause for Panic

What the Brewers are getting in Zack Greinke

Late Saturday night word broke that the Brewers and Royals had agreed to a deal that would send Zack Greinke to Milwaukee. The news was initially met with skepticism, as it hadn’t yet been confirmed by a mainstream media source, but it turned out that Jim Breen of Bernie’s Crew did indeed have the goods, leading the blogosphere to erupt in excitement that one of its own managed to break a major offseason story. Given Breen’s affiliation with the Milwaukee-Wisconsin Journal Sentinel I’d imagine Breen has a tad more access to information than, say, your average blogger living in his Continue reading What the Brewers are getting in Zack Greinke

Thinking Prospects: The Draft

It’s that time of year again—prospect season! Once all of the big names have flown off the board and chosen their destinations, the holiday season significantly slows down the news and transactions of major-league teams, but when that happens, prospect lists start rolling off the presses. Kevin Goldstein, John Sickels, and Baseball America have already started with some of their lists and will continue through the holidays, and Keith Law, Project Prospect, and others will begin their analyses in the coming weeks. In the spirit of the season, I figure we would turn away from the free-agency/trade rumors and move toward prospects, but this won’t be a Yankee Top 10 list. What I want to do is start thinking like a GM in regard to prospects (I plan on doing similar series later on—Spring Training, Trade Deadline, and the Off-Season—next year), and we’ll start with prospects and the draft. I’m going to “suggest” (these are obviously my opinions) certain things, but feel free to argue or bring up anything I’ve left out. We’re all here to learn.

Draft/Sign the Best Player Available Regardless of Money

This is somewhat of a clichéd statement, but its truth still stands. We can argue over who the “best available player” is (we’ll discuss that in a minute), but no team should ever let money into their argument for who to pick. It can come in later when negotiating, but it shouldn’t be used unless the players under consideration are so close in talent that the price is the main difference. Can’t afford it? Let’s take a look at some information

(Posterisk—I am awful at Excel, and I asked Peter Hjort at Capitol Avenue Club for some help on how to manipulate the data. Originally, I gave him a formula, and he responded with how to command Excel to do it, which ended with the phrase “click/drag D1 as far down as you need to”. Me being an idiot, I clicked and dragged, but nothing happened. After 5 minutes of tinkering and thought, I realized that I needed to copy the box I put the formula in and paste in the rest of the cells, and Abracadabra, numbers appeared! Unfortunately, those numbers made absolutely no sense. Pondering this for a minute, I realized that the formula was wrong, and it took me several tries to get the correct one—or at least the one that had numbers that made sense. My original formula—(C2+B2)/C2. My final one—(B2/(C2+B2))*100. Conclusion: This is still one of the most advanced things I’ve done with a spreadsheet. Anyway, back to the data)

(click “view full post” to read more) Continue reading Thinking Prospects: The Draft

Patience . . but for who?

Yankee GM Brian Cashman has been preaching patience these days. Since coming in 3rd in the Cliff Lee sweepstakes (despite having the best offer) with no clear fallback position, he frankly has little choice. We can all dream up scenarios and deals to acquire Felix Hernandez or Josh Johnson, but those pitchers simply aren’t available. So it begs the question, what exactly are we being patient for? For those of you who thought it might be Zack Grienke, the Brewers acquired him last night. Joel Sherman looks at this in his morning piece for the NY Post. He writes: In Continue reading Patience . . but for who?

Projecting key Yankees in 2011

We recently compared the Yankees and Red Sox position players as they stack up right now. Unsurprisingly, the Sox came out ahead. Barring the unexpected, the 2011 Red Sox’s position players will be somewhat better than the 2011 Yankees’ position players. What’s lost in this analysis, though, are the poor seasons so many Yankees had last year. Yes, the Red Sox are a better team if the Yankees get 2010 production from Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira and Derek Jeter. However, the Sox are not a better team if the Yankees get 2009 production from those three players. The Yankees will Continue reading Projecting key Yankees in 2011

A's trade for Yankeeist favorite Josh Willingham

Billy Beane and I seem to covet a lot of the same players. First Ben Sheets, then David DeJesus and now Josh Willingham. I first pondered the idea of Willingham back in April when I wasn’t yet convinced that Brett Gardner was going to be the full-time solution in left field. Admittedly I’ve since become a Gardner believer, but that doesn’t mean I still can’t pine over what might’ve been had the Yankees somehow picked Willingham up. Here’s what the A’s are getting in Willingham: That’s a pretty OBP trendline. Since becoming a full-time player in 2006, Willingham’s OBP has Continue reading A's trade for Yankeeist favorite Josh Willingham

Addressing the Feliciano complaints

There’s been a bit of bellyaching among some fans and in the blogosphere about the Pedro Feliciano signing. Not much, but enough that it needs to be addressed. Some fans feel Brian Cashman overpaid for a LOOGY when there were better options available, others worry about his workload. I’ll address each of these one by one. The Yanks overpaid-Not really. While we all know the entire market has been inflated this year, this deal fits in the context of what other Lefty relievers have been receiving this year. Scott Downs, by far the best of the lefty reliever group and Continue reading Addressing the Feliciano complaints

Yankees to Add Feliciano

The Yankees are now set to sign LOOGY Pedro Feliciano to a two year deal, worth $8MM. I’m more or less okay with this deal, since the money isn’t big and a two year deal isn’t awful, especially since he’ll just be facing lefties. With the way Joe Girardi matches up, though, he could be used pretty often. However, it’s hard to envision him being used more than the league-leading 86, 88, and 92 games in which he’s been used by the Mets during the last three seasons. Feliciano, as the article states, is death to lefties. He didn’t give Continue reading Yankees to Add Feliciano