ESPNNY Simulpost: The bottom of the barrel is in sight

Freddy Garcia

Garcia has spent most of his career in the AL and up until 2006, he was an absolute horse. Garcia rang up over 200 IP every year of his career to that point (1999-2006) except for one. And following his 2006 season, Garcia fell off drastically due to shoulder injuries. He pitched only 129 innings over the course of the next three season. Garcia rebounded in 2010, pitching 157 innings and making 28 starts. His ERA was high (4.64; 4.77 FIP; 94 ERA+) and his K/BB ratio (1.98) was his lowest since 2000. He was also victimized by a high HR rate (1.32/9 IP) that wouldn’t be helped by Yankee Stadium. Garcia’s 2010 fastball averaged 87.8 MPH (per, his lowest ever. Garcia also threw his fastball the fewest % of the time, just 30.2%. Instead, Garcia has relied on his change-up, which appeared to be quite good, as measured by a +7.6 wCH.

Does Garcia have another 150-175 innings left in his shoulder?…

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Making a Team from the Current 40-Man Roster

So let’s play a little “What If” here. Let’s pretend that the Yankees don’t make any more moves before the start of the season and decide to make a roster only out of the players currently on the 40 Man Roster. So, that discounts Jesus Montero. I considered making an exception since the plan...

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Disagreeing with Davidoff

In his column yesterday, Ken Davidoff gave his Baseball Person of the Year Award to Armando Galarraga and Jim Joyce. That’s not what I disagree with. Despite a monumental mistake made by the latter, both of them showed a great deal of class and dignity moving forward. What I disagree with is what Davidoff...

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Trying to Convince Everyone Not to Worry

The most important, and broadest, information is at the bottom. Last year’s team produced 95.4 fWAR, and sure enough, they won 95 games, which tells us that they were legitimately a 95-win team (probably). Looking forward to 2011, I did a few projections of my own, but I also included the FANS projections (it’s crowd-sourced, taking the average of fans’ projections on the player) just in case you don’t trust me (FANS has a lower total than I do, but they didn’t have predictions for Cervelli, Nova, back-ups, or most middle relievers; this could add 6-7 wins, which would probably have to be dropped anyway once all the fancy smoothing out—actually making sure outs, at bats, kinds of hits actually match up—is done). When I did so, I realized that the Yankees, even without Lee or Pettitte, may actually be better next season without any major additions. What?


Let’s start with the offense.…

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Olney: Yankees have no interest in signing Manny Ramirez

Via a tweet from ESPN’s Buster Olney, our original suspicions were confirmed. The Yankees will not be adding Manny Ramirez this off-season.

Heard this: The Yankees have no interest in signing Manny Ramirez. Jorge Posada will be the full-time DH, and they have three OFers lined up

That makes all the sense in the world and...

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Will A.J. bounce back in 2011?

Recently I’ve been playing around with Baseball-Reference’s similarity scores, a tool designed to compare baseball players to other players with similar careers. I used the stat to try to forecast the next couple of...

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So what’d ya get?

Captain Steve still chases his white whale

My family all know that I’m a huge Yankee fan, so each year there’s a certain amount of Yankee-related stuff involved in the gift giving that heads my way. Generally speaking it’s stuff like commemorative T-shirts, sweatshirts,...

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