February 7, 2011
by Jason@IIATMS
The 2011 PECOTA Rankings are out, as announced here. Here’s MY proposed batting order with BP’s projections:
I haven’t parsed the entire rankings spreadsheet. MLB leaders, selected categories:
- HR: Ryan Howard, 41 (Prince Fielder 38, Adam Dunn 38)
- SB: Juan Pierre, 50 (Carl Crawford 44, Jacoby Ellsbury 42, Brett Gardner 37)
- BA: Joe Mauer: 0.317 (Albert Pujols 0.312)
- OBP: Albert Pujols: 0.422
Well, as has been said in a number of places, the batting order looks almost as good as the rotation looks bad.
Good luck on having Gardner lead-off; I'd still guess Joe will have Derek lead-off, put Grandy #2, dropping Gardy to 8 or 9. Like yours better, but its not a Yankee game if Derek doesn't lead off.
Jeter batted second for most of his career. Dropping him to 2nd isn't a huge deal. I had to fight the urge to put him 6th or 7th. The Jeterian Force kept me from doing so.
not many remember that Jason, didn't Damon bat lead off and jeter was second and didnt Knoblauch bat leadoff and jeter second…so no big deal making him bat second.
Yes, Damon was leadoff for 4 years and Knoblauch probably led off, too. I'd have to check Knobby.
Jeter batting #2 would not be a big deal. Having Gardner ahead of him might prevent a few GIDP's, too. #wishfulthinking
at a glance, the leaders numbers look a little low – does PECOTA think it will be another pitchers' year?
I don’t know what these projections are really supposed to indicate (floor, perhaps?), but do they really think no Yankee will score 100 runs nor will one drive in 100 runs? When was the last time that actually happened?
Well I just checked my question. Nobody scored or drove in 100 in ’94 or ’95, but we all know why that was the case (a few more games in either season would’ve meant 100 R/RBI for a couple guys). In 1992 Mattingly led the team with 86 RBI and 89 R. That team sucked…
Here's my NYY lineup,;
V RHP
Gardner
Granderson
Cano
A-Rod
Teixeira
Swisher
Posada
Martin
Jeter
V LHP
Gardner
Swisher
Cano
A-Rod
Teixeria
Posada
Martin
Granderson
Jeter
Gardner had a top 5 OBP before he was injured last season…Texieira is more prone to prolonged slumps than Cano and I think Cano would be better batting 3rd…Jeter led all of baseball in groundball rates and with the exception of 2009 he has been an automatic double play for almost four seasons, (batting him 2nd would only exacerbate this problem) and he doesn't take nearly enough pitches to justify himself as a leadoff hitter. I was tempted to put Swish in 2nd against both splits but Grandy's splits are devastating against RHP.
Let me know what you guys think.