Good afternoon, everyone! It’s a 1 PM start for the Yankees/Jays today in the rubber match of their latest three game set in the Bronx.
Here’s the lineup for today’s match up vs. Jo Jo Reyes, thanks to LoHud:
1. Jeter, SS (Will it work today?!)
2. Granderson, CF (I can has more lefty mashing? .470 wOBA vs. LHP, .392 vs. RHP. #cured)
3. Teixeira, 1B (Hope Reyes doesn’t feature a changeup)
4. Rodriguez, DH(The numbers say otherwise, but I can’t remember seeing him have this many poor PAs bunched together)
5. Cano, 2B (Over/Under: 15.5 pitches seen today?)
6. Martin, C (O, Canada! .350/.458/.600/1.058 vs. the Jays this year)
7. Swisher, RF (I’m begging for better plate appearances today)
8. Jones, LF (Can he run into a fastball?)
9. Nunez, 3B (Over/Under: 1.5 errant throws to first)
Freddy Garcia gets the ball today. His 3.12 ERA is shiny, but the 4.78 FIP and 4.13 xFIP don’t bode horribly well for Mr. Garcia. His 1.45 HR/9 and super low 32.1 GB% scare me against the Jays.
Taking the mound for the Jays is the aforementioned Jo Jo Reyes. Quick scouting report:
6.84 SO/9, 2.40 BB/9
0.55 HR/9 (Can we get a correction, please?)
Per Texas Leaguers, here’s the particulars on his pitches:
Avg. 2-Seam Fastball Velocity: 90.5 MPH (42.23% usage)
Avg. 4-Seam Fastball Velocity: 91.1 MPH (28.5% usage)
Avg. Slider Velocity: 83.1 MPH (14.6% usage)
Avg. Changeup Velocity: 83.5 MPH (11.9% usage)
Avg. Curveball Velocity: 77.1 MPH (2.6% usage)
He likes to throw that two seamer as the first pitch (50.5% of the time). When he gets ahead, he sticks with it (41.6%), but also bumps his slider usage up from 6.4% first pitch to 15.8% when up 0-1. When down 1-0, he almost completely ditches the offspeed/breaking stuff and sticks exclusively to either fastball, as we’d expect.
Reyes seems to be a fastball heavy guy and the Yankees like fastball pitches. If they can stay ahead of Reyes, they should have a good time against him. Yes, that’s the most obvious statement anyone’s made about anything ever, but it holds true here. Even if the Yankees fall behind him, though, it looks like they’ll have a decent chance, considering how much Reyes likes his fastball.
Enjoy the game, folks. GO YANKEES!