Yankees clinch division crown

31 thoughts on “Yankees clinch division crown

  1. Sabrina

    One of those doubters was my buddy Larry! Where are you Larry?

    • LarryAtIIATMS

      (hiding)

      (don't tell Sabrina where I am)

      Honestly, Sabrina. If I'd told you in March that Ivan Nova would be our number two starter, that A.J. would have another lousy year, that we'd get essentially no contribution from Soriano or Feliciano, that we'd be unable to sign any starting pitching help by the trade deadline, that A-Rod would be hurt much of the year, that Posada would be benched for lack of production, that Teix would hit less than .250, that Boston would dominate us head-to-head until the end of August … you can add your own stories … how well would you have figured the Yankees would have played?

      In fairness to me, I projected that the Yankees would win 90 games, as did Jason. Tamar guessed 92 and Will/Josh/Chip/Mark had 93. Only Brien picked the Yanks to win the division. MY big mistake was to assume that some other team would edge us out for the wild card. A lot of potential wild card teams had lousy seasons — in particular, the White Sox.

      Take a look back at the ESPN projections: http://es.pn/hBDnX0. All 45 picked the Red Sox to win the division. 11 of these 45 figured the Yanks would not make the post-season.

      Here is the truth, Sabrina. The Yankees, deliciously, overachieved. In terms of runs allowed, the Yankees' pitching is third best in the American League. If you look at FIP or xFIP, the Yanks are actually the second best pitching staff in the AL, behind only the White Sox. True, the Yankees' relievers have outperformed the starters. But even if you look just at the starters, the Yanks' starters have had the best xFIP in the league. Please tell me that you saw this coming from a rotation of CC, Nova, Garcia, Colon, and AJ (with AJ posting a ERA over 5 and Hughes' ERA approaching 6).

      I have LOVED this season.

      • BrienJackson

        "In fairness to me, I projected that the Yankees would win 90 games, as did Jason. Tamar guessed 92 and Will/Josh/Chip/Mark had 93. Only Brien picked the Yanks to win the division. MY big mistake was to assume that some other team would edge us out for the wild card. A lot of potential wild card teams had lousy seasons — in particular, the White Sox.

        Take a look back at the ESPN projections: http://es.pn/hBDnX0. All 45 picked the Red Sox to win the division. 11 of these 45 figured the Yanks would not make the post-season. "

        I almost turned this into its very own post.

        (And only partly because, other than that, my preseason predictions were downright awful).

      • Sabrina

        Actually Wallace Matthews made the yanks the al east division favs after they acquired soriano. I'm only giving you a hard time,Larry. I did see us winning the division because I didn't think Boston was the second coming of Jesus like all the baseball analysts did. Good job Brien for making the right decision and picking the yanks for the division from the beginning.

  2. chris

    Ya that Posada guy is pretty legit…

    Yanks only need 2 wins to at least share best record in AL

    I'm thinking if Yanks take 2 of 3 from Sox Tampa makes the playoffs. Just my guess though…

    • Eli

      As long as the red Sucks don't make the playoffs, I really don't care whether the Rays or Angles take the wild car.

      • 27up-27down

        Not really sure why we would want to avoid playing a team with no confidence that can't find a way to win.

        • Chris

          because we arent playing them in the ALDS the Tigers are and id rather have the Tigers play the Rays and go to potentially 5 games rather than the Red Sox go and get swept and let Verlander rest

      • jay_robertson

        Good for you – I sure care. Give the Rays the wildcard – the Angels always scare me. (didn't you watch our last series with them?)

      • JeffG

        NO! No Angels in the Wild Card! On top of the usual Yanks-Angels postseason hijinx (and the usual Angels will steal 6 bases/game on Yanks) do you really want to see Hideki (Yes I am postseason beast) Matsui AGAINST the Yanks?

        • You know Matsui isn't on the Angels, right?

  3. BrienJackson
  4. 27up-27down

    It seems like all I want to do this week is say "I told Ya So" to all the yankee hating analysts. So for a few more days i'll succum to this urge. Before the season espn.com had all their baseball writing staff make post-season predictions. There was a total of 47 would submitted picks. Like a pack of lemmings, all 47 picked the Redsox to win the AL East, and at least 10 thought the Yankees wouldn't even make the playoffs. Oh, i wonder how many will write articles to say they were wrong.

    • BrienJackson

      In retrospect, I should have saved the angry email I got accusing me of being a huge homer and "discrediting the entire Sweetspot Network" with my dirty dirty homerism for picking the Yankees to win the division and suggesting the Red Sox might have some starting pitching issues.

    • LarryAtIIATMS

      I was wrong. You gonna make me post an article?

      • 27up-27down

        nah…admitting it here is enough

      • jay_robertson

        why not? we miss you, Larry.

  5. Guest

    Is anyone worried that the Yankees are essentially a .500 team (52-48) in night games and a sub-.500 team in one-run games (21-23) and terrible in extra innings (4-10)? Because close games, late nights and extra innings sounds like playoff baseball to me. Boston, Detroit and Tampa are better in each category and Texas is better in most.

    • hugh

      I've noticed the massive day/night differential for some time now and am interested by it, Is there a sample size issue here or could it really be that there are factors that make this team function better in natural light? I ask in genuine ignorance. (As usual.)

    • michael

      Their run differential is 103 (520-417) in night games. There record is a fluke and no concern.

      The other two split records are actually not supposed to differ much from .500. Doing exceptionally poorly or well in close / extra inning games are usually how teams under-/over- perform their pythagorean record and are cited as 'luck' or random variance typically observed in 'only' 162 games of baseball.

      So we can look at their best record, best run differential, near best run scoring and provention for the Al and say this is a team that has slightly favorable odds to win a few series in the crapshoot that is the mlb post season.

      • michael

        Aside from the wrong 'their' it could just be the night-game record*

        • hugh

          Thanks. Hadn't looked at the run differential – that's interesting. They have been plenty unlucky on that basis – I hope. Round about this time of year one starts looking for good omens. I liked the first win last night – gave me good vibes that we could turn over the Rays with that hodge-podge of pitching.

  6. John

    Yesterday gave me a nice feeling about the Yanks chances this year, not only because they won the Division and have all but sewn up home field. Yesterday was an indication that the team might have that killer instinct that seemed to be lacking last year. At the end last year they backed into the playoffs, but this year they took their playoff spot and made the upcoming series with Boston mean a lot less. They seem to have that hunger that we saw in 2009. Really excited to see what they are going to do in the playoffs.

  7. KPW

    I can't remember where, but someone did an analysis of one-run games (Rob Neyer?) and statistics show that it's pretty much dumb luck as to who wins them. The night differential is a bit strange though.

  8. Ben

    I realize that baseball is different than football and that the Yankees did not in fact make sweeping changes to their staff like some thought they should, but I continue to be of the belief that the team that won the division the previous year always has a better chance than a different team unless there’s a huge drop off. While some might have said Colon and Garcia were going to be a huge drop off, the simple fact is we didn’t know. For as much grief as Cashman gets from other teams fans and pundits, he seems to know how to put together a team.

    • John

      Problem is they didn't win the division last year.

      • Ben

        Ack, valid point, I was thinking TB got the WC and we got the division, stupid me.

        • John

          No problem. We'll just say you are still drunk off the warm glow of the Yanks winning it this year. :-)

  9. dar34

    So now we hope that there is a three way tie for WC??? And after using Weaver in the second playoff game in CA, the Angels win?

    • John

      Actually I'm hoping for a 4 way tie. Texas and Angels tie for division while Red Sox and Rays tie for WC with the same record as the West teams. That would be crazy and fun to see.

      • JeffG

        Supposed to rain in Baltimore next Wednesday too. Dosn't look like so much that the Sox/O's season finale would get PPD right now, but if so that could add an extra day to the craziness.

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