Orioles Down Yankees 5-4 in Extras

Nick meets Frankie, treats him to tea and a shoulder in the face. (c/o Reuters)

That one stung a bit. These past few days have not been kind to the Yankees. The weather has conspired against them and the scheduling of day games and makeup games just compounded the worn out feeling surrounding the whole club. With the impending west coast trip following this game, I think we all knew this one could get weird. It certainly did.

After a quiet 1st inning, the Yankees struck in the 2nd when they loaded the bases with nobody out. An infield single by Eric Chavez scored Alex Rodriguez and kept the bases loaded with nobody out. Cervelli then lined into a double play with Swisher doubled off second base. After a walk to Brett Gardner, Jeter singled up the middle scoring two, giving the Yankees a 3-0 lead. The very next inning, Vlad Guerrero led off with a solo shot cutting into the lead.… Click here to read the rest

Collecting my thoughts on Mariano

H/T to Bexy of You Can’t Predict Baseball for vaguely inspiring this post. Make sure you check out that site if you haven’t, and follow the site’s Twitter account @cantpredictball.

In the next few weeks, Mariano Rivera will break the all-time saves record. We’ll make a big deal of it and so will the other members of the Yankees. Rivera will humbly accept all the congratulations and be thankful for his health and his great teammates that allowed him to rack up this many saves. He’ll be modest, but the modesty will not be false.

While we can whine about the save rule/stat and how it’s crude at best and misleading at worst, Rivera’s completion of this this feat is just a perfect blend of personal and collective greatness. Looking at Mo’s pages on baseball reference or FanGraphs is an act of baseball porn. That’s where we see the personal achievements come to light. In a full season as a reliever, he’s had an ERA over 2.85 just once.… Click here to read the rest

The Continuing Story of Bungalow Phil

While his pitch count gently weeps. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)

As noted in the the Tuesday night game recap, Phil Hughescontinued inability to authoritatively shut down hitters after reaching favorable pitchers’ counts — he seems to have particular trouble putting guys away after reaching 0-2 on hitters — was on full display after surrendering a long two-run home run on an 0-2 count to Matt Wieters.

The home run in and of itself isn’t a huge deal, except for the fact that his issues dispensing with guys with two strikes in the count has been an ongoing problem now for the better part of two years — even when he does retire a guy after getting two strikes on him it generally wreaks havoc on his pitch count and workload; Hughes has only made it into the seventh inning 11 times out of the 42 regular season starts he’s made since the beginning of 2010, and only made it into the 8th inning twice — and after poring over some of the numbers, things appear to have gotten even worse.… Click here to read the rest

Game 141: Orioles 5, Yankees 4 (11 Innings)

The Yankees responded in the bottom of the first.  Russell Martin doubled to left and Nick Swisher walked.  Alex Rodriguez then drove a double to center, plating two runs and giving the Bombers a 2-1 edge.

Baltimore tied the game up in the top of the second.  Nolan Reimold walked and stole second.  He moved to third on a wild pitch and scored when Brandon Laird made a fielding error at first.  They took the lead in the top of the third, as Andino singled and Reimold knocked a two-run homer for a 4-2 lead.

The Pinstripes rallied in the bottom of the fourth.  Rodriguez led off with a walk and moved to third on a line drive double from Andruw JonesJesus Montero then hit a hard fly ball that bounced off the wall in right and plated Rodriguez and Jones to tie the game at 4-4.

New York had a chance to pull ahead in the seventh.  Curtis Granderson doubled to right and Nunez laid down a sac bunt. … Click here to read the rest

Yankees lose to O's 5-4 in extras

Sad A.J. is sad.

During a wet, incredibly sloppy afternoon (the Yankees and Orioles combined for six(!) errors), A.J. Burnett turned in what can really only be deemed a Burnett-esque performance at this point. He didn’t get killed, but he gave up four runs in six innings on seven hits — including a two-run homer to Nolan Reimold, giving Burnett 27 home runs served up on the year, the second-worst total in the AL — and four walks, which is altogether far too many baserunners in a six-inning appearance, not to mention the fact that the leadoff man reached base in five of Burnett’s six innings. You want to talk about RISPfail, the Orioles collectively managed to strand a total of 22 runners in this game! Taking all of that into account it’s actually rather amazing A.J. only gave up four runs.

If you’re looking for positives, A.J. did strike seven men out, and also apparently threw 26 changeups (h/t Josh Weinstock via Moshe), 20 for strikes, and got nine swings-and-misses on the pitch.… Click here to read the rest

WAR Is Not the New RBI (but It Has Its Own Flaws)

(The following is being syndicated from The Captain’s Blog).

Is WAR the new RBI? That was the question asked in a thought provoking post at IIATMS, which is sure to draw a new battle line in the statistical debate over the value of composite metrics.

How much of Adrian Gonzalez' success is attributable to those who get on base before him?

At the heart of author’s argument is the suggestion that WAR, like RBIs, is context-based because so many elements of performance are interconnected. To illustrate this point, Adrian Gonzalez’ higher career OPS with men on base is offered as one of the exhibits. In this case, the implication is that Gonzalez’ performance benefits from his teammates getting on base ahead of him (just like with RBIs), so it’s unfair to consider OBP and SLG as strictly individual stats.  If we look more closely at Gonzalez’ splits, however, we see that a significant portion of his 50 OPS increase with men on base stems from the 108 intentional walks he has been given (he has only received two with no men on).… Click here to read the rest

Legitimacy

And that’s a shame. Over the past few years, I’ve come to love the sabermetric community and many of the people within it, but situations like this remind me that legitimacy and the struggle for it is like walking a tightrope. It’s a perilous climb to the top where a breeze one way or the next might knock you off (this is where sabermetrics is, and this is the most dangerous part; once you get to the other side, it’s harder to be knocked off), and when you get to the end, it often looks a lot like it did when you started. Sabermetrics is getting to the point where its ideas are becoming legitimized and accepted, and as they gain this new power, certain people seem to be taking liberties with it, including the right to not be challenged.

Tom Tango called out the post and colored his audience’s reading of it before he even gave it a chance.… Click here to read the rest