The Semi-Official ALDS Roster

Jack Curry Tweeted his “projected” ALDS roster. In all likelihood this is the actual roster the Yanks plan on using, but as Yankee Manager Joe Girardi said in his weekly radio interview this afternoon he’s not allowed to release the official roster just yet due to league rules. So here it is:

Pitchers:

CC Sabathia, Ivan Nova, Freddy Garcia, AJ Burnett, Mariano Rivera, David Robertson, Rafael Soriano, Boone Logan, Cory Wade, Luis Ayala and Phil Hughes.

Position Players:

Mark Teixeira, Robinson Cano, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Eric Chavez, Eduardo Nunez, Brett Gardner, Curtis Granderson, Nick Swisher, Andruw Jones, Russell Martin, Jorge Posada, Jesus Montero, Chris Dickerson

There’s a few interesting omissions that jump out at me. Leaving off Hector Noesi and taking AJ Burnett tells me Burnett is assuming the long man role. Detroit features a righty-heavy lineup, and they probably feel the veteran AJ is a safer bet than the rookie Noesi. If Freddy gets knocked out early, expect AJ to pick up a few innings to bridge the gap.… Click here to read the rest

2011 ALDS Preview, Part 2 | Yankees vs. Tigers | Overall Team Numbers

(Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images)

Please see Part 1 of our ALDS preview here.

Starting Friday night at 8:37pm at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees and Tigers square off in the American League Division Series for the second time in the last six seasons, and Yankee fans of course unfortunately remember the 2006 series as the one where the bats went ice-cold and the likes of Kenny Rogers and Jeremy Bonderman completely shut down what had been the most potent offense in the league. The Tigers rather handily beat the Yankees in four games, and as that was the only previous time the two teams have met in the postseason, Detroit owns a 1-0 series record against the Yankees all-time in October. Additionally, the ’06 Tiger victory also represents the only time the Yankees have ever lost an ALDS when they had home field advantage. I think it’s safe to say the Yankees would love to be able to exact a measure of revenge this time around.… Click here to read the rest

Why the Yankees can win it all

2. CC Sabathia gives them a chance to win every game he pitches, and Joe Girardi will have no problem using the big horse on short rest whenever he feels the need to.

3. The back end of the bullpen is very deep. Mariano Rivera and David Robertson were two of the best relievers in baseball, and Rafael Soriano has been pretty good since returning from the DL in July. If these three can dominate at the back end of the game, it could do a lot to bolster a shaky corps of starters.

4. This is a group that’s been here before. Not to rely too much on cliché, but the Yankees’ roster is loaded with postseason experience, so there shouldn’t be any concern about stage fright, or any reason to worry about players being overwhelmed by the moment.

5. You know what? Maybe it’s just their year. This was a team that was supposed to have critical starting pitching problems, that was supposed to have no chance of beating the Red Sox, and yet Bartolo Colon and Freddy Garcia held up all season, Ivan Nova surprised everyone and they finished with the best record in the American League.… Click here to read the rest

The Yankee Analysts' September 2011 Monthly Wrap-Up

At least someone came to play on offense in September. (AP Photo/Bill Kostroun)

Please click on the following links for TYA’s previous monthly wrap-ups for the 2011 season:

August 2011
July 2011

June 2011

May 2011

April 2011

Here’s the big picture (click to enlarge):

Following one of their most dominating offensive months in recent history in August, the Yankee bats went into hibernation in September. No one made too big a deal out of this, since the team still kept right on winning all the way to clinching home field advantage through the first two rounds of the playoffs, but the offense was really pretty terrible this past month.

In fact, the team’s September wOBA of .316 was their second-worst month out of the 66 months dating back to the beginning of the 2001 season, and their second-worst September heading into a postseason since 2001, when they wOBAed .303. Of course, they made it all the way to Game 7 of the World Series that year, but also only hit .183 against the Diamondbacks across those seven games.… Click here to read the rest

Chaos

It seems almost beneath mention that the Orioles had a comparatively large 4.7% chance of beating the BoSox when Chris Davis came to the plate last night in the ninth with two out and no one on. It would take a statistician of the quality of a Nate Silver to calculate the odds-defying chance that the Red Sox would miss the playoffs and that the Sox and Yanks would both lose last night’s game. If all three of these events were independent of each other (and I don’t think that they are), the odds against what we witnessed last night would be something like 1,750,000-1 – and I haven’t even tried to factor in the odds against what happened this month and last night to the Atlanta Braves.

(YIKES! While I wrote this, Nate Silver did calculate the odds. As I predicted, I got the odds wrong. According to Silver, the odds of what we witnessed last night were actually 278,000,000 to one.… Click here to read the rest

2011 Playoff Predictions

ALDS: Rangers vs. Rays

The hot new thing is to talk about how dangerous the Rays are in the playoffs, and it is true that they have an attractive starting rotation on paper. But the Rangers have a fantastic offense opposing them, and I think people are overrating the Rays just a little. David Price sure didn’t look very scary Wednesday night. The Rays had a nice run in September, but that was largely aided by the Red Sox just completely falling apart. Factor in a mediocre at best offense, and they look like the weakest team in the playoffs to me, which I guess means they’ll probably win the whole thing. I’ll believe it when I see it though. (Rangers in 4)

NLDS: Phillies vs. Cardinals

What is there to say about this series, really? The Phillies are going to have Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, and Cole Hamels pitching, and though the Cardinals probably shouldn’t be a pushover, I just don’t see them overcoming that sort of firepower, especially with Matt Holliday injured.… Click here to read the rest

Preparing Myself For The Playoffs

After a crazy final week, the baseball rests for a day before beginning the playoff season. October is an amazing time  the majors, when we shift from a conditioned, relaxed, marathon pace to a true sprint where every pitch matters. As the Yankees get ready to begin the sprint, I think some reflection is appropriate. And besides, no one wants to hear about the minor leagues right now.

The 2011 Yankees were easily the best team in the American League. A late-season meaningless losing streak notwithstanding, they are heading into the playoffs strong, confident, and mostly healthy. The rest of the guys here at TYA have every aspect of the Yankees and Tigers covered and compared coming for you in the next 48 hours, so I don’t feel the need to go into specifics.

What’s been on my mind lately is that despite all of this – that the Yankees are the best AL team, the 2nd best MLB team, and everything is going right for them at the moment – the Yankees are probably not going to win the World Series.… Click here to read the rest

The 2011 IIATMS MLB Awards

The Babe Ruth Award: For the best offensive player in each league.

N.L. Matt Kemp
A.L. Jose Bautista

The Mariano Rivera Award: For the best relief pitcher in each league.
N.L.: Craig Kimbrel-This one was really amusing. Kimbrel got all but one vote, and it just so happened to be the very last vote I counted.
A.L.: Mariano Rivera-Who but? David Robertson gave him a good run for his money though, coming in second in a very close count.

The Angel Berroa Award: For the most outstanding rookie in each league.

N.L.: Craig Kimbrel-Another award Kimbrel comes within one vote of winning unanimously.
A.L.: Michael Pineda-The most diverse of all of the awards, with seven different rookies getting votes. Pineda edges out Ivan Nova and Jeremy Hellickson.

The Branch Rickey Award: For the best general manager of 2011 in each league.

N.L. Doug Melvin-Melvin was very aggressive in cashing in his prospect chips this year, but it worked, as the Brewers captured their first ever N.L.… Click here to read the rest