A closer look at Hector Noesi's 2011, and what to expect going forward (or, What to Expect When You're Noesing)

(Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)

Developed primarily as a starter during his time in the Yankees’ minor league system, Hector Noesi rather quietly had a very good rookie campaign out of the bullpen for the big league club in 2011.

He finished the season with a 4.47 ERA/4.09 FIP/4.02 xFIP, 7.2 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 1.0 HR/9 and a 41% GB% over 56.1 innings, most of which came in relief. However, his numbers look even shinier if you remove the two innings-limited spot starts he made at the end of the season — 4.01 ERA/3.88 FIP/3.91 xFIP, 7.3 K/9, 3.3 BB/9 and 0.9 HR/9.

While the preseason projection systems were projecting him as a starter, he still outperformed his average preseason projection of a 4.84 ERA/4.91 FIP, 6.6 K/9, 2.5 BB/9 and 1.4 HR/9 rather handily, with the exception of the free passes.

Though Noesi ended up being a valuable part of the bullpen, if the team does end up holding a competition for the back end of the rotation next spring, Noesi will certainly be in the mix, especially seeing as how he’s currently fifth on the Yankees’ starting pitching depth chart after CC Sabathia, Ivan Nova, A.J.Click here to read the rest

Story of a Season: Jorge Posada

All other hitters

If I had to describe Jorge Posada‘s 2011 season in a word, I don’t think a word would do. Instead, I’d settle for an onomatopoeia: Ugh. Just like there was little to say about Curtis Granderson and Robinson Cano because their seasons were so good, there is little to say about Jorge Posada because his season was just so disappointing.

The whole picture is just ugly. A .235/.315/.398 slash line with a .309 wOBA and an 89 wRC+ leading to a -0.4 fWAR mark. His walk rate was good at 10.1% and his Iso wasn’t horrible at .163, but we’re really just grasping for straws there.

Breaking things down doesn’t help either. Posada’s season was made up of four sub-replacement level months (April: .264 wOBA/58 wRC+; May: .291/76; July: .239/41; and September: .284/72), one fantastic month (June: .426/168), and one slightly-better-than-average month (August: .346/114).

Let’s just acknowledge the platoon splits, because any discussion of Jorge Posada’s season needs to include them.… Click here to read the rest

Looking Back At The "Worst Managerial Decision Ever"

On this date in 2003, Josh Beckett pitched a complete game shutout to lead the Marlins to a 2-0 victory and a World Series championship against the Yankees. What many Yankees fans remember most vividly about that series was a decision made by Joe Torre in Game 4. In an article about Tony LaRussa’s interesting evening in Game 5 last night, Jay Jaffe referenced Torre’s gaffe:

If a Hall of Fame-bound manager has had a worse night in a nine-inning World Series game—for the sake of argument, we’ll chalk up Joe Torre’s decision to pitch Jeff Weaver in 2003 as an extra-inning folly—then I haven’t seen it.

Let’s take a look at Torre’s decision and see whether it was quite as awful as we remember.

After losing Game 1 by a 3-2 score, the Yankees strung together consecutive 6-1 victories and were looking to take a stranglehold on the series in Game 4. Roger Clemens was matched up against future pain in the butt Carl Pavano, and Pavano stuck it to the Yankees by pitching 8 innings of one run ball.… Click here to read the rest

Taking a look at the payroll

Because I was bored today, I decided to take a look at Cot’s Baseball Contracts to see what the Yankee payroll looks like for 2012, and get an idea of how much money may be in the Yankee budget to add pieces.  While theoretically the Yankees have a lot of payroll flexibility, it has hovered in the $200-210 million range over the last few seasons, so it seems reasonable that it will be around there for 2012.

Currently, Cot’s has the Yankees’ 2012 payroll obligations at $153.16 million, though it’s important to note that this is not for an entire 25-man roster.  It doesn’t include any prospective free agents, so Freddy Garcia, Bartolo Colon, Jorge Posada, Eric Chavez, Andruw Jones, Kei Igawa and Luis Ayala are not included.  It also does not include club options, such as Nick Swisher’s $10.25 million option and Robinson Cano’ $14 million option (both of which seem certain to be picked up), or raises for arbitration-eligible players.… Click here to read the rest

Cashman's Biggest Contribution

Brian Cashman will almost surely sign a new contract with the Yankees in the next week or so. Its amazing to think that Cashman is just 44 years old. He’s been general manager since 1998, and we can all recite the team’s accomplishments during that time. He might be haggling with the organization over some small amount of money (what’s a few million dollars between friends?), but as the off season begins, he’s once again at the helm.

After watching the fiasco with the Red Sox over the past 30 days, I think we are all reminded how lucky we are to have Brian Cashman. The Red Sox were a successful team under Theo Epstein. Terry Francona is an excellent manager. I have a hard time imagining that the Red Sox can do better, short of pulling Andrew Friedman from the Rays. The Red Sox purge of 2011 is reminiscent of some of the old time George Steinbrenner episodes – lots of dirty flying about in the press and important and successful people fired after good, if not World Championship, seasons.… Click here to read the rest

Will C.C. Sabathia become the new Mike Hampton?

So really, the only deals your left with are those given to Barry Zito, Mike Hampton, and Kevin Brown and, again, none of those really provide a good comparison for Sabathia. Brown was 34 when he was given a 7 year contract, which is pretty much all you need to say about that. As for Hampton and Zito, those are both classic examples of two guys who simply weren’t as good as some people thought they were, and were not worth the salaries they were being paid at any time. Zito never repeated his 2002 season, and was in clear decline when San Francisco signed him. In his last season in Oakland he had a FIP of 4.89! When Hampton signed with Colorado, he hadn’t struck out at least 7 batters per nine innings once in his career, and wasn’t very good at limiting his walks either. His main attribute was his low home run rate, which promptly exploded when he began pitching his home games at Coors Field.… Click here to read the rest

The New Guy

Greetings, TYA readers and fellow Yankee fans.  I’m Brad.  As you may or may not know, I’m the founder, President, CEO, and sole writer over at An A-Blog for A-Rod.  Recently I was invited by Larry to join the fine team here at TYA and I accepted the invitation.  I figured that being the new kid in class, it was only right to introduce myself and give you all an idea of who I am and what I’m about before I just started firing posts up and giving you reasons to call me insane.

First off, I’m 25 years old, single, and I live and work in Wisconsin.  So I’ve strayed a little far off the bag in terms of being near the Yankee fan motherland.  Because of that, I go out of my way to watch the Yankees every time they’re on TV, even if it means having to sit through the likes of Joe Buck, Tim McCarver, Nomar, and Bobby Valentine, because the opportunities are much fewer and farther between than they used to be when I had the luxury of the YES Network back home in Connecticut. … Click here to read the rest