Trade Match Series-Matt Cain

Matthew Thomas Cain


Whether or not a trade happens between two teams can come down to many nebulous factors, from the relationship between the two GMs, how clubs value players, and the level of motivation a team has to move someone. But one important element that can be looked at objectively is how the teams match up. This is a series where I’m going to look at how the Yankees match up with the other team for their prospective trade targets.


What do the Giants need?

Offense, hitting and sprinkle in some bats. Despite playing in a division that houses the perennially weak San Diego Padres, the San Francisco Giants managed to score the fewest runs in their division. But that’s easy to do when you score the fewest runs in the entire National League, which they did by a margin of 23 Runs.  

What do the Giants have in their farm system?

A few good pitchers in RHRP Heath Hembree and LHSP Eric Surkamp. Gary Brown may be their CF of the future, but he’s a few years away after destroying (.328/.398/.457) High-A San Jose.  Slick fielding (SS) Brandon Crawford got a big league look in emergency duty last year, but questions persist about his bat (.584 OPS last year).

Yankee trade chips that match:

Frankie Cervelli, Austin Romine, Nick Swisher, Eduardo Nunez, David Adams,

The ephemeral:

The Giants need hitters, but where on the diamond is more of a question than most folks realize. The only positions written in stone next year are Melky Cabrera (CF) and Pablo Sandoval (3B). Everywhere else is up in the air on some level. Buster Posey has to show he can come back healthy from his nasty broken ankle, and if he can’t catch everyday you need 1B open for his bat. Rookie stud Brandon Belt could play 1B or LF, and 26 year old Brett Pill is an option there as well. A backup Catcher who won’t kill you with the bat would be a nice insurance policy. The middle infield was a mess in 2011, with the oft-injured Freddy Sanchez (2B) and the old, addled Miguel Tejada (SS) up the middle. They’d love to bring back Carlos Beltran, but given the big arb bump coming to Lincecum and Cain due for a salary raise from 7M to 15M it’s unlikely they have salary space for Beltran. GM Brian Sabean is notorious for preferring veteran retreads over unproven rookies, which is why he brings guys like Huff and Tejada in and trades his best pitching prospect (Zach Wheeler) for 2 months of Carlos Beltran. Given Sabean’s preferences, the uncertainty with Posey and their financial constraints, its difficult to see them making a deal.

0 thoughts on “Trade Match Series-Matt Cain

  1. Cain won’t be going anywhere. They are in a win now mode and if they trade Cain the chances of them getting to the places decreases, even with offensive additions. I also think both Cain and Lincecum will eventually be locked up long term. Besides all that I like Cain but I don’t think he is worth the price it would take to pry him loose if he was available. He’s a solid number 2 in the AL, but everyone thinks he’s an ace and I don’t.

  2. God would Cain look good in the Yankees rotation just behind CC. I’m not sure what it would take to pry him loose from the Giants or even if he could be pried loose. But if I’m Cashman I sure give it a shot. Other then in my opinion holding on to Banuelos and Sanchez most any of the other prospects are on the table.

  3. Largely agree with the 2 comments above. I don’t see the Giants giving him up excpet for a deal that will blow them away. The 2 teams do seem to match up pretty well though. The Giants need hitting and an outfileder (Swisher) and could use a replacement for Cain if they trade him (Nova/Noesi, a high-end prospect such as Banuelos or Betances) and perhaps also include a Cervelli or Romine and perhaps even Nunez. While the cost may be high to the Yankees depending on which options are chosen, it does look like the 2 teams match up pretty well. A move like this would allow the Giants to reduce salary by not having to bring back Beltran while still replacing his offense and by not have to pay Cain’s potential (likely large) salary increase after arb. The question then becomes, how highly do the Yankees value Cain? Is he worth that much to them?

  4. I’ve said this before, and I’ll say it again….Nunez is Robinson Cano 5 years ago. His bat is going to be lethal. Add to that his speed, and you’ve got one very dangerous S.S., which we’ll need in about 2 years. Cashman would be crazy to trade Nunez at this point, especially with ARod needing time off. Now…if you think that tossing them Cervelli, Romine, Hughes, Adams, and Swisher will get this done, then you also believe that five 2’s equals a 10. Wishful thinking. I think Cashman does nothing big pitching wise before the season starts, waits until about the All-Star break to assess where the team is, and then pulls the trigger on someone who’s about to be a free agent. It costs much less this way. Also…why pay big now for someone who will only cost $$$ at this time next year. But hey…what do I know?