Fun with WAR projections: Pitcher edition

It’s projection season around the baseball blogosphere. So, why not look at some of the projections out there and see what that gives us in terms of WAR. For this exercise, I’ll be using the Bill James projections, which some guy we know compiled here. To attempt to get the WARs, I’ll use...

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Is Matt Garza the Yankees answer?

The sticky issue is likely to be the Cubs’ asking price. The North Siders have a lot of dead money on their books they’d like to move if they can, but their situation probably isn’t so bad that Theo Epstein and Co. are under orders to cut payroll this year. Plus, Garza is still in his arbitration eligibility period, so while he isn’t extremely cheap, he’s not so expensive that trading him as a salary dump move makes any sense. If the Cubs are interested in trading him, the goal would have to be bringing some good young talent into an organization that’s lacking in that area as they attempt to rebuild, and where the Yankees are concerned, that means one player would certainly be on the Cubs’ radar: Jesus Montero.

Frankly, the important question when considering the price for any attractive pitcher on the trade market is going to be “would you trade Jesus for them?” Does Garza fit that bill?…

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Tal Smith’s Ouster Ends Era in Houston Baseball; Was Part of Link Between Yanks and Astros

(The following is being syndicated from The Captain’s Blog).

Jim Crane has begun his tenure as Houston Astros’ owner, and the franchise’s 50th year, by firing Tal Smith, a long-time baseball executive who had been with the team off and on since its inception. Although the more significant move was the dismissal...

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Part 2: A New Yankee Strategy Post-CBA

Last week, I voiced my complaints about the new CBA. It’s a horrible document that will harm baseball, but it’s a document that is now baseball reality. The Yankees have to learn to live with it, and need to readjust their strategy to win in the new environment.

The Yankees have a pretty difficult...

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If the Yankees make a deal this offseason, who is most likely to go?

On Sunday I wrote a post arguing that the Yankees have a complete, competitive team ready to go right now, with ample slack in the farm system. The point of the post was to draw attention to the fact that the Yankees don’t have to make a move. They’re currently competitive. My colleague here...

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Baseball is not football part XXVI

What’s more, the teams at the top of the first round didn’t seem particularly concerned with high school bonus demands in the 2011 draft. Eight of the top fourteen picks were high school players, and the Orioles and Royals took a couple of high school players with solid college commitments in Dylan Bundy (Texas) and Bubba Starling (quarterbacking Nebraska), over Anthony Rendon, the top college position player available. Both Bundy and Starling signed, as did Archie Bradley, the 7th overall pick (an unprotected selection, at that), who had a commitment to play both baseball and football at Oklahoma. In other words, it seems the only reason that top prospects are falling is because teams are overestimating how firm their commitments are, when reality suggests that a nine-figure signing bonus looks much better than selling your labor for free (and risking your health and eligibility along the way) to the NCAA.

Secondly, and more importantly, once you get past the first 15-20 picks or so, the logic breaks down entirely for the simple reason that, for as much as Bud Selig desperately wants it to be, the baseball draft just isn’t particularly analogous to the NFL draft.…

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Life After Mo

While I was eating a leftover lunch yesterday, MLB Network was airing the highlights of the 2009 World Series. Mariano Rivera was talking and a depressing thought that I’d rather ignore dawned on me: at this time next year, it’s possible (probable) that Mo will have announced his retirement (hopefully...

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