TYA Predictions: Cy Young Award

Matt Imbrogno:

AL: CC Sabathia. CC won the award in 2007 with the Indians and has finished no worse than fifth in the Cy Young voting every year since then (5th in ’08; 4th in ’09 and ’11; 3rd in ’10). And just about each time, he’s had a legitimate case to win the thing. This year, I think he’ll finally repeat as the Cy Young Award winner. He’s got everything the voters want: he’s a workhorse, he’s incredibly good at not letting runs cross home plate, and he’ll win a lot of games. Maybe this (and my NL pick) is a sentimental pick, but I don’t think it’s that far fetched.

NL: Cole Hamels. I think I predict this one almost every year, but now I think it’s going to come true. Hamels is a top-flight lefty pitcher who plays for a winning team. He’ll have to overshadow teammates Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee to win the award, but if there’s anyone who can do that, it’s him.… Click here to read the rest

Nightly Links: Kuroda, Chamberlain, Pineda

  • Individual ticket sales for the general public are available today. Though it might be enticing to get tickets for the next Red Sox v. Yankees series, most if not all the affordable tickets are gone and probably for sale on Stubhub by now. Still, you might be able to find a few $5 Terrace, Grandstand, or Bleacher tickets available.
  • Unsurprisingly, Hiroki Kuroda will start the second game of the season. Where a starter pitches in the rotation means little to me, but Kuroda could be the most reliable #2 we’ve seen in a long time.
  • Joba Chamberlain addressed the media tonight and explained that his ankle injury was never life threatening. He was clearly upset about the injury impacting his baseball season, but he downplayed the pain and extent of the ankle injury. It’s a good read to get caught up on the situation after plenty of speculation that was clearly bogus.
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Well-Publicized Drops in Velocity Presented with Limited Commentary

The following pitchers have a fair bit more in common than may be discernible at face value. Each was, at one time or another, lauded as a top prospect (albeit to varying degrees). All five experienced enough success at the Major League level to stoke the flames of their respective fanbase’s fiery prospect love. And finally, the lot of them were decried for a loss of velocity from one season to the next, as if such an occurrence was an affront to life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness.

Without further ado:

Tim Lincecum
2008 – 94.67 MPH, 10.51 K/9, 3.33 BB/9, 2.62 ERA, 2.62 FIP, 3.13 xFIP
2009 – 93.22 MPH, 10.42 K/9, 2.72 BB/9, 2.48 ERA, 2.34 FIP, 2.83 xFIP

Clayton Kershaw
2009 – 94.81 MPH, 9.74 K/9, 4.79 BB/9, 2.79 ERA, 3.08 FIP, 3.85 xFIP
2010 – 93.18 MPH, 9.34 K/9, 3.57 BB/9, 2.91 ERA, 3.12 FIP, 3.64 xFIP

Phil Hughes
2010 – 93.26 MPH, 7.45 K/9, 2.96 BB/9, 4.19 ERA, 4.25 FIP, 4.13 xFIP
2011 – 92.10 MPH, 5.67 K/9, 3.25 BB/9, 5.79 ERA, 4.58 FIP, 4.90 xFIP

Brian Matusz
2010 – 90.58 MPH, 7.33 K/9, 3.23 BB/9, 4.30 ERA, 4.05 FIP, 4.31 xFIP
2011 – 88.63 MPH, 6.89 K/9, 4.35 BB/9, 10.69 ERA, 7.66 FIP, 5.22 xFIP

Jair Jurrjens
2010 – 92.05 MPH, 6.65 K/9, 3.25 BB/9, 4.64 ERA, 4.19 FIP, 4.29 xFIP
2011 – 89.81 MPH, 5.33 K/9, 2.61 BB/9, 2.96 ERA, 3.99 FIP, 4.23 xFIP

What can one take away from this?… Click here to read the rest

Predicting Joba’s prognosis

The Joba Chamberlain ankle injury saga has been an interesting case study for how the media tend to respond to serious injuries (I’m going to ignore the excessive media moralizing about how trampolines are deathtraps, and therefore going on one is incredibly irresponsible).  The immediate reaction was that Joba’s injury was quite possibly life-threatening (due to major blood loss), and at minimum, career-threatening (due to possible risk of infection and other complications), which naturally sent Yankee fans into hysteria.  The media coverage of the injury largely seemed to largely focus on these worst-case scenarios, and there was not much discussion of the realistic timeframe for Joba’s return.

Recently, the news about Joba has been more positive.  While the open dislocation of Joba’s ankle is still an awful injury, the reports that there were no microfractures or infection so far are good signs for his prognosis.  This whole process of media reporting of injury prognoses made me curious about what the current medical literature had to say about this type of injury.… Click here to read the rest