It’s Time To Trade David Robertson

David Robertson is becoming a Yankee fan favorite. In the minds of the fans, he’s handsome, charitable, and always missing bats. In the minds of his opponents, he’s clever, got filthy stuff, and always missing bats. In my mind, he’s unsustainable. In 2011, David Robertson led the American League in ERA, K/9, was second in FIP, but also second in LOB%. For better or for worse, he appears to be the same pitcher in 2012 as he was last year.

I'll miss the fistpumps.

Robertson’s one weakness stems from his inability to keep men off base. His 89.8% left on base percentage and .289 BABIP, compared to his career .320 BABIP, indicate just how lucky he was in 2011. While you might thiN. Robertson could be good enough to maintain these numbers, even the greatest reliever of all time and most clutch player in recent Yankee history, Mariano Rivera, has a career 80.1% LOB. Robertson is a well above-average relief pitcher, but due to below-average control issues, he finds himself with too many players on base.… Click here to read the rest

Fenway Park and the Yankees

The Yankees have always had the short right field dimensions. Aside from Pesky’s Pole, Fenway Park is a detriment to the types of teams the Yankees built for themselves. Conversely, Fenway has always had that short left field with that Wall that seems to loom over the shortstop’s head. Balls the Red Sox would pepper off that Wall and over it become outs in the Death Valley of left and left center in Yankee Stadium.

Over the long history of the two teams, this has hurt the Red Sox more than the Yankees. The Yankees have a 609-427 record at home against the Red Sox. The Red Sox have a 527-523 record at home against the Yankees. That is the historical record. But how has it gone in the last decade? Here are the Yankees’ home/road records for these two teams as they have battled each other:

  • 2002: 5-4 (home), 5-5 (Fenway)
  • 2003: 5-5 (home), 5-4 (Fenway)
  • 2004: 5-4 (home), 3-7 (Fenway)
  • 2005: 5-4 (home), 5-5 (Fenway)
  • 2006: 4-6 (home), 7-2 (Fenway)
  • 2007: 6-3 (home), 4-5 (Fenway)
  • 2008: 4-5 (home), 5-4 (Fenway)
  • 2009: 7-2 (home), 2-7 (Fenway)
  • 2010: 4-5 (home), 5-4 (Fenway)
  • 2011: 2-7 (home), 4-5 (Fenway)

Totals: 47-45 (home), 45-48 (Fenway)

These two longtime American League rivals have pretty much played to a draw over the last ten seasons.… Click here to read the rest

PITCHF/x Scouting Report: Clay Buchholz

Hopefully he doesn't put up that many zeroes.

This afternoon the Yankees will make the trip to Fenway to celebrate 100 years of the historical stadium. The Red Sox will send right handed pitcher Clay Buchholz to the mound. Aside from his health, Buchholz has always been somewhat “lucky”, showing mediocre advanced stats, but an impressive ERA. In 2009 he posted a 4.21 ERA behind a 4.69 FIP, .279 BABIP, and 76.7% LOB in 92.0 innings. In 2010 the numbers were particularly glaring, a 2.33 ERA in 173.2 innings with a 3.61 FIP, .261 BABIP, 79.0% LOB, and 5.6 HR/FB%. Last year was all too similar, a 3.48 ERA behind a 4.34 FIP behind similar BABIP and LOB numbers. As much as Red Sox fans may want the pitcher to keep up his unbelievable ERA, it looks like statistical karma is bound to catch up with him. Thus far he has a 9.82 ERA behind a 4.46 FIP and his LOB is certainly turning on him at 43%.… Click here to read the rest

Granderson blasts Yankees to 7-6 win over Twins

At this point Hughes actually settled down and started to show some positives, working more efficiently and looking like he might get through six innings for a while. He recorded 1-2-3 innings in the third and fifth innings, while allowing just one baserunner in the second and fourth. That all unraveled in the sixth, however, as Hughes walked Justin Morneau to lead off the inning before giving up a long home run to Doumit. As the YES broadcast was happy to point out, Hughes hung his changeup so badly that Doumit was able to pull deep to the right-center seats even though he was well out in front of the pitch. Hughes would get one more out before being removed after officially pitching 5.1 innings. Curtis Granderson had already hit his third home run of the night, however, so Hughes was in line to pick up his first win of the season.

The line score shows that the Yankees’ bullpen held the Twins scoreless, but they sure made it interesting along the way.… Click here to read the rest