Projecting arbitration salaries

The New York Yankees do not have a large contingent of young(ish) players that are arbitration eligible. But the ones they have are fairly important to the team. Matt Swartz of the MLB Trade Rumors site has worked on a fairly successful model of predicting the arbitration salaries of these players. Swartz’s model accounts for the fact that most of these players will not actually make it to arbitration and are signed to one year contracts. Some are extended for multiple years. It must be a difficult trick of projection. I bring it to your attention only to feature his projections for players on the Yankees to give you a fairly good guess on how much they will cost the Yankees in the coming year.

First, let’s identify who they are. The list includes Casey McGehee and Jayson Nix, both of whom will probably be non-tendered. The rest include Boone Logan, Phil Hughes, Brett Gardner, David Robertson and Joba Chamberlain.  … Click here to read the rest

Surviving Sandy

Just a quick non-baseball note: we have all been affected by Hurricane Sandy and her vicious attack on the East Coast. I have power, thankfully, but no phone/cable/Internet. I know Brien with without power and might be for a few days. Hope you and yours are safe.

Use the comments below as your open thread, share your pictures and experiences, status. We’re a small family here. Let us know you are OK.

We will try to cover any relevant news but please note that access is limited. … Click here to read the rest

The Yankee Relief Pipeline and Depth

There’s a lot of uncertainty in the Yankee bullpen. Rafael Soriano is probably leaving for greener pastures, and Mariano Rivera is old. The Yankees can probably survive with Cody Eppley and Clay Rapada in the bullpen in 2013, but wouldn’t mind an upgrade or two. At the same time, the Yankees have a poor history with free agent relief pitchers.

Below is my attempt to build completely in-house six-man bullpen, as well as a depth chart for the Yankees.

Locked in: Mariano Rivera, David Robertson, Joba Chamberlain, Boone Logan

This assumes that Mariano Rivera comes back, and is just now angling for a contract. The top-end of the bullpen in 2013 looks to be just about as good as the top-end of the bullpen in 2012. We don’t know how good Mariano is going to be post-ACL, but people generally lose money betting against Mo. Joba Chamberlain should be ready to go post-surgeries, and I’d expect him to be a strong contributor.… Click here to read the rest

Ladies and Gents, we now have a formula for winning in October

We are the champions, my friend

First, congrats go out to the 2012 World Series champion San Francisco Giants. Yankee fans are currently lamenting the fact that they didn’t advance to the Fall Classic. So now that the series is completed, we have a blueprint Brian Cashman can use to ensure he fulfills the Yankees mission statement of World Series success in 2013.

If you want to get to the World Series (Tigers)

-Win 88 games during the regular season

-Be 6 games under .500 midseason

-Be a truly awful road team (.469)

-Spend most of the season in 3rd place and don’t even lead your division for good until September 25, when the team in front of you loses 10 of 12

-Give up significantly more runs than the team you play in the ALDS (in the regular season) and score far fewer than the team you play in the ALCS

-Make sure that 4 of your starting 9 are awful hitters

-Field one of the worst defensive teams in all of baseball

-Have one of the worst bullpens in your league

If you want to win the World Series (Giants)

-Have a middling pitching staff

-Make sure that 4 of your starting 9 are awful hitters

-Have an everyday RF with a .287 OBP

-Forget about 1st ballot Hall of Famers, get a journeyman shortstop mid season

-Lose your best offensive player to a PED violation

-Have the ace of your staff post his worst season, and the worst ERA in the sport in the past 3 years

-Cap off your new found success with a good, old fashioned riot.… Click here to read the rest

Sign up for IIATMS text alerts

Looking for a new way to get the latest Yankees and MLB related news delivered straight to you? Sign up for IIATMS text alerts! It’s easy: just enter your mobile phone information in the sign up box at right, and get all of the Hot Stove information you want/need to know sent straight to your phone. It’s a great way to stay up to date on all of the minor details of the offseason. Standard text message rates apply and all of that, and don’t worry: we won’t sell your phone number to any telemarketers or anything like that.… Click here to read the rest

Will Kuroda get a qualifying offer?

You couldn’t ask for a much better bargain than Hiroki Kuroda. Signed to a one year, $10 million contract on the same day that the Yankees traded their top prospect for Michael Pineda,it was Kuroda who ent on to be the truly impactful acquisition. The 37 year old was arguably the Yankees’ best starter in 2012, leading the team in innings pitched and ER and anchoring the staff through a period in which C.C. Sabathia and Andy Pettitte were both injured. It’s not taking someone off of the scrap heap and having them put up Cy Young caliber numbers or anything, but it’s about as close to that as you ever really see people get.

Now, however, the Yankees have a pretty interesting decision to make as Kuroda gets set to hit the open market for a second straight year, but this time following arguably his best season as a major leaguer. The Yankees would no doubt like to have him back, but at what cost?… Click here to read the rest

Goodbye 2012, hello Sandy

The Giants completed their sweep of the Tigers last night, making them the 2012 World Series champions and officially closing the book on the 2012 season. Given how things went for much of the season, I honestly can’t say I’m that sad to see it go. Hopefully 2013 is a more fortuitous, and healthy, year for the Yankees.

Though their won’t be any more meaningful game for the next five months, the offseason now officially begins, and it promises to be an eventful one with some pretty big changes for the Yankees. You can look here for a full schedule of milestone days between now and the winter meetings, but suffice it to say that free agency opens on Saturday, and some fairly big decisions on options, qualifying offers, etc., will have to be made before then. Unfortunately, the Northeast is going to be battered by Hurricane Sandy as all of this is going on, which will put something of a damper on the enthusiasm for the promise of a new year, to say the least.… Click here to read the rest