The 2014 Home Run Derby Open Thread

Greetings!

If you were planning on watching the Home Run Derby, why not comment about it here?

Here are the new rules per Baseball Tonight:

The thinking behind these changes is to make it so the guys participating in the derby aren’t so tired by the final round. As we famously watched in 2008, Josh Hamilton expended all of his energy in the first round by hitting about 1,000 monster home runs and then lost to Justin Morneau in the finals. This way, the guys who win the first round will be rewarded with a bye for the second round. Plus, instead of getting 10 outs, each hitter gets seven.

Here are the participants:

AMERICAN LEAGUE
Jose Bautista, Blue Jays (Team captain)
Adam Jones, Orioles
Brian Dozier, Twins
Yoenis Cespedes, A’s
Josh Donaldson, A’s

NATIONAL LEAGUE
Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies (Team captain)
Giancarlo Stanton, Marlins
Yasiel Puig, Dodgers
Todd Frazier, Reds
Justin Morneau, Rockies

So who do you have winning this thing? I’m leaning toward the easy choices: Cespedes or Stanton. Cespedes won last year and if he repeats as home run derby champ it will be the first time it’s happened since Ken Griffey Jr. did it in 1998-1999. As for Stanton, he’s a monster and has a chance to put on quite a show in Minnesota. He has the best odds of winning the derby at 5-to-2.

UPDATE Here are the updated odds from Bovada per the BBTN Twitter account:

Giancarlo Stanton 11-4
Yoenis Céspedes 9-2
José Bautista 5-1
Yasiel Puig 5-1
Troy Tulowitzki 7-1

Stacey is co-Editor-in-Chief of It's About The Money, co-host of the It's About The Money, Stupid podcast and is a monthly contributor to ESPN's SweetSpot Blog. She is a former contributor at Aerys Sports and High Heat Stats. She has contributed to group projects at Baseball: Past And Present and the Hall of Stats. Her work has appeared in USA Today's Sports Weekly and most recently, she wrote four pieces for Derek Jeter: Celebrating the Yankees' Captain Clutch, a magazine printed by i5 Publishing.

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