IIATMS overlord and founder. ESPN contributor. Purveyor of luscious reality.

Author Archives: @Jason_IIATMS

As Gardner and Ellsbury go, so go the Yanks (or: Crap, Ellsbury hit the DL)

One of my favorite things about this site and the staff here is the off-site chatter amongst all of us that takes place over the course of every day. We talk baseball. We loudly bemoan really bad, hackneyed, trite, ad hominem attacks on players by the MSM, and laugh about silly Twitter spats. We talk about non-work stuff and provide a measure of support for one another when life gets in the way of baseball/writing (we’re all mourning the loss of Stacey’s best buddy, her cat Jack, who had to be put to sleep last night). I haven’t written much in the last few years due to work, but I’m here in the background every day, reading everything we (and you) write. Fun stuff, really.

This morning, William asked/challenged the following: What’s the Yanks record when Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner get on base (H/BB/HBP) a combined 4 or more times in a game? That’s a fine question, William, particularly because we all know how good these two have been so far this year and we’re losing Ellsbury to the DL (did you know he’s in the midst of a $153M contract?!?

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Fun with charts?

There’s an obvious lack of enthusiasm we all seem to be sharing with nearly the entire infield (thanks for not being terrible, Mark Teixeira) after six weeks [looking squarely at you, Stephen Drew and Chase Headley, and of course, Didi Gregorius].

Earlier today, Brad, Matt, and Stacey pointed out the failings of Drew (here), Headley (here), and the rest (here) so that spurred me to go take a peek at the oWAR from Baseball-Reference.com for all American League players who have played at least 10 games this season at 3B/SS/2B. Below is the chart of all such players, with the Yanks’ starters (and Gregorio Petit for kicks) highlighted.

Ladies and gentlemen, your 2015 New York Yankees infield (or at least 75% of it):

2015SS3B2BoWar

Now I’m no SABR-magician like Michael Kay thinks Stacey is, but just using the old fashioned eyeball test, this ain’t good.

I hold some irrational faith in Headley, as at least he’s manning 3B quite well.…

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About CC’s struggles in the batting order

sabathiaSo Brad was right on the money with regards to CC Sabathia‘s failings at the bottom of the lineup, as he mentioned earlier today. CC is absolutely getting OWNED by the bottom of the opposing lineups this year (SSS warnings and all that jazz). But what Brad didn’t really mention is that, for the most part, you can chalk a lot of it up to some really bad luck. Batters 7-9 are posting an unsustainably high BAPiP of 0.429 this year. Compare that to the 0.313 and 0.314 posted by batters 1-2, and 3-6, respectively.

Hell, just look at the SEVENTH hitters have done to CC: 0.800 BAPiP. That’s ridiculous and completely a SSS gremlin. It means that CC has turned the seven hitter into a 1.526 OPS behemoth. Any idea what player that would profile if that OPS held over the course of the year? How about no one EVER. The best OPS over a season was Barry Bonds‘ 2004 wrecking ball when he racked up 1.4217.…

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Bad outcomes do not always result from bad decisions

tanakaThis may seem like a basic statement, but sometimes the right decision made with every piece of data and insight available at the time can result in a bad outcome. The converse is also true. Some call this luck, either good luck or bad luck.

When Ned Yost calls for another bunt that works out in his team’s favor, it doesn’t automatically mean it was the right decision. It just happened to work out. Happens all the time all over sport and clearly beyond it, as well.

On Monday, our favorite Masahiro Tanaka went on the DL for at least a month. Could be longer, but we hope not. It’s a blow to the team, no question.

Let’s remember back to last year, when Tanaka initially got hurt. MRIs, doctors, lots of doctors. The best elbow/arm specialists on the planet. And their unanimous conclusion was rest, treatment, and rehab. These are medical wizards, not a bunch of mopes gathered outside around a food truck (no slight on food trucks; I love them).…

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Game 16: #TANAK vs. Sanchez

Tanaka vs TOR 2015Happy #TANAK Day, peeps. Afternoon game today, starting at 1:08ET. Let’s see if Tanaka (2-1, 3.94 ERA) can continue his momentum from his last outing and lead the team to a series win against Annibal Sanchez (1-2, 7.71) and the Tigers.

While you’re at it, feel free to bash whatever dumb, trite, hackneyed narrative the writers are pounding on. Here’s a non-exhaustive (yet exhausting) list to start from:

  • Didi Gregorius is not a proper replacement for Derek Jeter
  • Carlos Beltran has looked old [OK, this is kinda true, sorry Carlos, last night’s triple not withstanding]
  • Jacoby Ellsbury is not earning his $153 million
  • If George were still alive…
  • Tanaka’s elbow could snap any second. LOOK OUT!
  • Tanaka should have had surgery despite three (or more) doctors advising against it
  • ARod can’t keep this up; he must be back on the juice
  • Teix is done and can’t hit against the shift

Lineups:

New York Yankees Detroit Tigers
Jacoby Ellsbury, CF Anthony Gose, CF
Brett Gardner, LF Ian Kinsler, 2B
Carlos Beltran, DH Miguel Cabrera, 1B
Brian McCann, C Victor Martinez, DH
Chase Headley, 3B J.D.
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Who are you calling old?

With a large tip of the interlocking NY cap to devoted reader/commenter UYF1950, below are the anticipated rosters of the Yanks and RedSox, with their ages as of the beginning of the season. I swapped out the injured Brendan Ryan for Jose Pirela, but it could just as easily be Rob Refsnyder (or not, as he was just sent to AAA, sorry!) or newly acquired Gregorio Petit (please, no). Either way, dumping Ryan for either of the kids helps the Yanks (both in terms of production and for comparitive reasons, as shown below):

2015 Yanks. vs Sox by age

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IIATMS site maintenance

IIATMSBannerJust a quick head’s up: IIATMS will be undergoing some site maintenance activities over the next few hours, starting around 5pm EST and ending (hopefully) by 10pm.

Intermittent outages and gremlins might occur during this time, so please be patient and thanks for understanding.

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What they’re saying about the Gregorius trade

Gregorius vs COL

Courtesy of Getty Images

As expected, there’s a lot of discussion out there regarding the Yanks – Tigers – Diamondbacks second three-way (trade, you people) in the last few years. You know, the one that lands us a new shortstop. While this puts the team back in the market for pitching (a very deep end of the pool), it takes us out of “Stephen Drew (that wasn’t fun, was it?)/Asdrubal Cabrera (no, just no)/Brendan Ryan (living on an outdated reputation only, along with 1/4 the Yanks 40-man)/some other guy” trade market. I still think Everth Cabrera (PED, DUI, other unsavory things) was worth a cheap dip in the unpatrolled, non-tendered kiddie pool, but alas, the Yanks decided to go get one of the guys they apparently wanted for quite some time: Didi Gregorius.

While I, and others, will miss Shane Greene, I’m not heartbroken. We needed a legitimate shortstop more and there’s LOTS of pitching to go after, either high-priced or bargain-bin.…

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Behold, the Nerd-cast is upon us!

RobNeyerFellow baseball NERDS, PJ-wearing basement dwellers, know-it-all-number-crunchers-who-never-played-the-game… REJOICE, a baseball broadcast specifically designed with YOU in mind is now here.

The main broadcast of Saturday’s opener between the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals will be on Fox. Cable channel Fox Sports 1 will also show it, with extended replays and statistical analysis of batter-pitcher matchups, umpiring tendencies and defensive shifts.

Kevin Burkhardt will call the game from the studio alongside Gabe Kapler, CJ Nitkowski, Rob Neyer and San Diego Padres manager Bud Black. The broadcast will sometimes use a ”double box” to show the commentators and live action at the same time.

Long time readers might remember that it was the esteemed Rob Neyer who had the audacity (read: stupidity) to ask me to be his Yankees blog back when the ESPN SweetSpot Network was being formed in 2009. I will never forget to thank him for that kickstart, for without him, this site might not be up and running today, manned by these excellent writers around me.…

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