Why Sell Low on Nova?

Nova vs TOR 2015

Courtesy of Getty Images

I had a four year-old Chevy Tahoe with a lot of life left, but a fender-bender left it dinged, scratched, and missing a side window. The needed series of cosmetic repairs would’ve cost maybe $3K over a few months, and by using it over those months, I could’ve verified that nothing structural was wrong. But I was kind of sick of it, so I left it looking like a Sanford & Son junkyard prop, and I sold it for $9K less than bluebook value.

OK, I made that up. I just envy the southern/midwestern trial lawyers who sell their points with homespun anecdotes about good ol’ American cars, horses, and cheese grits. I was really talking about Ivan Nova: I don’t understand the sell-low strategy of trying to trade a potentially useful player exactly when his value is at a low point.

The problem isn’t just trading him after a bad half-year. The bigger problem is that we don’t know whether his 2015 performance (1) was just bad because he’s bad now or (2) was suppressed by injury recovery and rust that he could get past in 2016.… Click here to read the rest

Report: Actual MLB Team “Has Had Interest” In Ivan Nova

Deep in the underbelly of his latest weekend MLB column, Nick Cafardo did something that I honestly didn’t expect to see done this offseason.  He provided some real, actual, reported evidence that another MLB team is interested in trading for Ivan Nova.  The Yankees have had Nova on the market for a while now, although I think it would be a stretch to say they’re actually “shopping” him.  Team-friendly arb deal or not, there’s not much about Nova’s recent track record that would inspire teams to want to trade something away for him.  And yet Cafardo managed to tie the Marlins to Nova, saying “Miami has had interest.”

Whether that interest still exists now in the present or only in the past is unknown, and either way there isn’t a great match to be made between the Yanks and Marlins.  Miami doesn’t have any non-Jose Fernandez young starting pitching of value and there’s no way they’re trading Marcell Ozuna back to the Yankees for Nova.  … Click here to read the rest

Winter Meetings Day 3 Wrap-Up

The Yankees kept moving and shaking after the Castro deal on Tuesday, trading another piece of their Major League bullpen away yesterday to add some upper-level rotation depth.  Today is the final day of the meetings and the Rule 5 Draft is later, so maybe we’ll see another move.  Here’s a quick update on where we stand after yesterday.

– The aforementioned trade was the Justin Wilson one.  The Yankees got right-handed starters Luis Cessa and Chad Green in return, and both figure to start next season in the Triple-A rotation.  Cessa sounds like the better prospect from what I’ve read, but neither is a stud.  Wilson figures to be replaced internally by someone from the Lindgren-Pazos-Webb triumvirate.  Just kidding, it’s going to be Lindgren.

– Via Jon Heyman, Brett Gardner is “still out there” in trade talks, although nothing is close for now.  I think Gardner stays.

– Via Joel Sherman, the Yanks are still shopping Andrew Miller around to the D’backs and Astros.  … Click here to read the rest

Report: Nothing Close On The Gardner, Miller, Or Nova Trade Fronts

Yesterday George King posted a short article on the Jordan Zimmerman contract and what it meant for the Yankees’ search for starting pitching on the free agent market.  If he would have waited a little longer, he could have included David Price in the piece and expanded on his idea, but that’s neither here nor there.  While King’s argument that the high price for Zimmerman (and now Price) could push the second and third-tier pitching markets out of the Yankees’ desired price range is completely spot on, it wasn’t the most important part of the article.  The most important part was the end, when King provided an update on the Brett Gardner, Andrew Miller, and Ivan Nova trade situations.

That update is that there is nothing going on worth updating.  According to King, the Yankees haven’t been impressed by any of the trade offers that have been made for Gardner or Miller and are not close to trading either of them.  … Click here to read the rest

Report: Yankees Shopping Ivan Nova

I hope everyone had a relaxing and enjoyable Thanksgiving holiday.  It was a quiet week in Yankeeland, but there was one small story I wanted to go back and touch on before we pressed on into the heart of the offseason.

Last week Joel Sherman reported that the Yankees had “let teams know Ivan Nova is available” in a trade if they were interested.  This is noteworthy for two reasons.  One, the Yankees are on the record as being in the market for starting pitching this offseason and Nova is a starting pitcher, and two, Nova really wasn’t good this past season and hasn’t been anything special in his MLB career.  The idea of teams lining up to make the Yankees a trade offer after finding out he’s available is borderline laughable.

Sherman’s report went on to explain that the Yankees are looking for starters with more years of team control remaining, something that Nova does not have.  The 2016 season will be his final arbitration year before free agency and the Yankees must be hoping they can move him for somebody who will be around a little longer rather than keep him next year and then lose him for nothing.… Click here to read the rest

Report: Yanks Talking Outfielder-For-Pitcher Trade With Indians

The Brett Gardner trade rumor train keeps rolling down the offseason tracks, gathering speed as it goes.  Via Jon Morosi, the Yankees are one of several teams talking to the Cleveland Indians about putting a trade together involving an outfielder and one of Cleveland’s starting pitchers.  As Morosi points out, the Indians are dangerously light on quality MLB outfielders right now and won’t have Michael Brantley at the start of next season.  They also have a very deep starting rotation, with 6 legit big league starters in the mix.

If the Yankees are involved and the trade revolves around Cleveland acquiring an outfielder, of course it’s going to be Gardner whose name comes up.  There’s no way Cleveland would even entertain the idea of taking on Jacoby Ellsbury‘s contract.  But Gardner would be a good fit for them thanks to his well-rounded offensive skill set and ability to play center field.

With the Yankees openly looking to add more starting pitching, any of Cleveland’s young starters would be a good fit.  … Click here to read the rest

Report: Yankees Unlikely To Pursue Zobrist

Looks like I didn’t miss too much over the weekend.  The one new rumor with some juice that came out last night comes to us courtesy of The Post and concerns both the Yankees and the Mets and their respective plans to pursue Ben Zobrist this offseason.

Via Dan Martin and Ken Davidoff, the Yankees are unlikely to go hard after Zobrist because of his expected price tag.  The exact quote from the report says “the Yankees aren’t willing to spend as much as Zobrist likely will receive”, and that the Mets will make “a strong push” for Zobrist to address their multiple roster needs.  That information comes from the always reliable unnamed “industry sources”.  They’re better than just regular unnamed sources because they’re definitely in the industry, you see.

All jokes aside, this report makes sense to me.  The MLBTR projection for Zobrist was 3 years/$51 million, this report mentions 4/$60 mil as a possibility, and I’ve already said I don’t see the Yankees going all in on Zobrist for those types of commitments.  … Click here to read the rest

GM Meetings Day 3 Recap: 1 Trade, 2 Trades, And The Rumor Mill Heats Up

Aaron Hicks 2015

Your new fourth outfielder… for now (Courtesy of Getty Images)

Very busy day for Hipster Cash yesterday.  He started off by clearing a 40-man spot and kept the trade momentum rolling with an out-of-nowhere swap with the Twins that netted him at least his Chris Young replacement.  Here’s a full recap of yesterday’s activities.

– The first trade was a straight up roster dump.  Cash said so himself.  The Yanks sent utility man Jose Pirela to the Padres for 20-year-old right-hander Ronald Herrera.  The move got them down to 38 on the 40-man roster and gave them a potential sleeper pitching prospect.

– The second trade was the big one.  The Yankees acquired outfielder Aaron Hicks from the Twins for backup catcher John Ryan Murphy.  This trade, while unexpected, followed a pattern Cash has established recently of dealing from positions of depth to acquire young MLB players with lots of team control remaining.  Murphy really came into his own in 2015 as Brian McCann‘s regular backup, and like Francisco Cervelli before him he will now get the chance to expand into a regular starting role.  … Click here to read the rest

Report: Yanks And Mariners Have Had Talks About Brett Gardner

Here’s the other new story I alluded to in the previous recap post.  According to Joel Sherman, the Yankees and Mariners have “discussed” a potential trade involving Brett Gardner.  This comes as the latest example of the “Brian Cashman is open to anything” storyline that’s been gaining strength over the last week or so.

Sherman’s report is quick to state that the discussions are in the early stages and no specifics have been mentioned by either side, but there is a good fit and logical reason for both sides to pursue this.  The Mariners need to be competitive now and Gardner is the perfect type of top-of-the-order table setter they need in front of their big hitters.  Jerry DiPoto is the new GM in Seattle and has always liked Gardner.  From the Yankees’ side, Gardner is arguably their most trade-able main roster piece as an above-average player with a reasonable contract.  With Ellsbury locked in, Beltran coming off the books after next season, prospects waiting in the wings, and some intriguing FA outfield options, Gardner is the best chance for them to move a piece while also helping another area of roster need.… Click here to read the rest