It is all but certain that Ivan Nova is going to make a playoff start for the Yankees this season. Given the erratic recent play the Yankees have gotten from Freddy Garcia and Bartolo Colon, it is entirely possible that Nova will be asked to take the mound early in a postseason series, against a more established pitcher. With that in mind, it is high time to take a look at how Nova has done this season.
In 151.1 innings of work, Nova has pitched to a 3.81/4.05/4.12 ERA/FIP/xFIP slash line, which translates to a 92 ERA- and a 99 FIP-. That is solid regular season performance, comparable to the 91 ERA- and 92 FIP- that the Yankees got from Andy Pettitte in 2009. While most of the talk of Nova’s performance has focused on his wins total of 15 this year (yawn), the real story is that a pitcher who was slightly below average in 2010 (103 FIP-) has improved this year, albeit not by as much as the media would make you think.… Click here to read the rest