Quick Hit: FanGraphs Releases ZiPS Projections For 2015 Yankees

Now that rosters have been mostly set and prospects have been ranked, the next step on the march towards pitchers and catchers reporting is the release of 2015 projections.  Earlier this morning, Dan Szymborski's ZiPS projections for the Yankees were released over at FanGraphs.  It's a mixed bag of good and bad if you're the kind of person who values projections in any way, and I invite everybody to read through the whole post when you have the time. If you're just looking for the highlights, here they are.  ZiPS is high on Chase Headley, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Brian McCann, projecting all of them to outperform their 2014 slash lines.  It's also somewhat optimistic about Mark Teixeira, pegging him for a .332 wOBA, albeit in just 377 plate appearances.  A handful of rookies also got favorable WAR projections, most notably Luis Severino, Jose Pirela, Rob Refsnyder, and Aaron Judge.

The pitching, on the other hand, was mostly lowlights.  No starter is projected to throw more than 167 innings, the 2nd-highest WAR projection is for Hiroki Kuroda, who's no longer playing in New York, and Dellin Betances is the next highest after Kuroda and Masahiro Tanaka.  If you're expecting the rotation to suffer because of injuries this year, this is probably what it's going to look like: a lot of missed starts, a lot of extra relief innings, and a lot of Matt Tracy, Bryan Mitchell, and Scott Baker getting their teeth kicked in.  ZiPs is pretty optimistic about Ivan Nova's return from TJS though, so there's that.

P.S.- You can thank me for making sure Baker got included in the projections.  Szymborski was going to leave him out, which is egregious.  You never count out a wildcard like Scott Baker.