What to look for: Nathan Eovaldi

Tonight Nathan Eovaldi will be making his third start this season. Eovaldi is 2-1 with a 2.96 ERA in eight career starts in April but he is 0-5 with a 6.23 ERA over his last six road starts which is the longest road losing streak of his career. In his last outing this past Wednesday night, on the road in Baltimore, Eovaldi only lasted five innings. And while his nine strikeouts were a good sign, he surrendered eight hits, three walks and two runs. He also threw a season-high (and so far, team high) 101 pitches in those five innings which caused the bullpen to be called in early and they ultimately, and almost immediately, gave up the lead and the Yankees lost.

Let's see how Eovaldi is doing so far.

16 hits - 14 singles, one double and one home run:

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Info

  • Against lefties, Eovaldi's given up eight hits, has struck out eight and walked one.
  • Against righties, he's given up eight hits, struck out two, walked three and he gave up his only home run (so far) against Mookie Betts.
  • In his two starts so far, he's averaging 96.91 m.p.h. on his four seam fastball.
  • He's averaging 84.95 m.p.h. on his slider.
  • He's averaging 75.31 m.p.h. on his curve.
  • He's averaging 84.11 m.p.h. on his split.

The majority of Eovaldi's whiffs have been low and out of the strike zone.

Courtesy of Brooks Baseball

Eovaldi likes throwing pitches to that part of the plate. Here are his career career numbers:

Courtesy of Brooks Baseball

Most of Eovaldi's whiffs have come from his slider. (The changeup is 100% because he's thrown one.)

Courtesy of Brooks Baseball

Actually, Eovaldi has had better success with his off-speed pitches than with his hard stuff so far:

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Info

So what can we expect tonight from Eovaldi?

Well, the Tigers are 11-2 this season and they like making contact on "soft" pitches:

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Info

But, the good thing is, none of their home runs have come on pitches low and out of the zone:

Courtesy of ESPN Stats and Info

So if Eovaldi can put some of the aspects of his last start, mainly the high number of strikeouts, avoid others, like his high pitch count and keep the Tigers in the park, (and if his infield can make plays behind him) he may be able to pick up his first win as a Yankees.