Yankees Using The Simplest Formula In The Book To Drive Their Offensive Success

Teix-A-Rod vs BAL

Bash bros. Courtesy of Getty Images

I made this point on Twitter earlier today, but since not everybody in the world has had the good sense to follow me yet I figured it was worth expounding on here.  The Yankees are the cat’s meow right now.  They’re all that and a bag of chips.  They’re 18-6 in their last 24 games, at 21-12 they now own the best record in the American League, and they’re 4 games clear of Tampa Bay in the division with the chance to put more room in between themselves and the Rays tonight.

With all due respect to Michael Pineda and the ace relief duo of Betances & Miller, this blazing hot run has been driven by the insanely productive top of the batting order.  Jacoby Ellsbury, Brett Gardner, Alex Rodriguez, and Mark Teixeira have been the 4 best position players on the team thus far, and that’s reflected in all 4 of them currently ranking inside the top 25 in the American League in wRC+.  …

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Can CC – or Any Starter – Survive at 1.6 HR/9? A Look at High-K/Low-BB/High-HR Comps

Last month I noted how pitchers usually don’t recover after a CC-like decline from top-of-rotation starter to 80ish ERA+, but the outcomes varied widely: about a third of the comps did recover, half stayed lousy, and a fifth recovered underwhelmingly minimally. Given that range of variation, I wanted to look for comps a different way. Staring at CC Sabathia‘s stats since 2013, you see not just a gradual ERA worsening, but a real consistency in his HR, BB, and K rates – the defense-independent pitching components that may be more telling of true talent level than ERA, the noisy bottom-line stat.

2013: 1.2 HR/9; 2.8 BB/9; 7.5 K/9; 4.78 ERA
2014: 2.0 HR/9; 2.0 BB/9; 9.4 K/9; 5.28 ERA
2015: 1.6 HR/9; 2.0 BB/9; 7.6 K/9; 5.45 ERA

The ERA decline jumps out at you, but you’re actually seeing a guy who’s evolved into a pretty consistent profile: high-control, high-strikeout, high-homer. While the K and BB rates are strong, the big question is: can you remain a major-league starter giving up more than a home run every 5.2 IP?…

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Injury Updates: Nova And Capuano Scheduled To Pitch Today

The comeback trail continues for the Yankees’ pair of rehabbing starters, as reported by Bryan Hoch yesterday.  Ivan Nova will take another step up in workload with his ExST start, and Capuano could very well be making his last MiL rehab start with SWB this evening.  There isn’t much further to go in terms of workload once you reach 6 innings/90 pitches, so as long as he comes through the start healthy there’s reason to think that Capuano could rejoin the rotation within the next week.

If that happens, the obvious candidate to get bumped is Adam Warren.  He’s turned back into the hittable, short-inning, low strikeout pitcher he was in his first few starts after that 1-run start against Tampa at the end of April, and with David Carpenter still sputtering and Chris Martin on the DL, there’s room for another reliable middle relief arm.  …

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Game 33 Recap: Yankees 11 Rays 5

Courtesy of the AP

Michael Pineda set the bar for starters pretty damn high with his performance on Sunday afternoon, and while nobody was expecting that or anything like it from CC Sabathia last night, it would have been nice to see him put a decent start together.  Emotions are starting to run a little bit higher in Yankeeland relative to CC’s struggles and inability to successfully adapt to life as a different pitcher.  Another bad start on the heels of Pineda’s dominance would only serve to fuel those flames.

So naturally CC came out, walked the first 2 batters of the 1st inning, and gave up what would have been a 2-run double to Logan Forsythe to center field.  The only thing that saved him was Steven Souza forgetting how to run the bases and getting thrown out at home, which limited the scoring to 1.  CC got a strikeout to end the threat, but it wasn’t the kind of start that inspired confidence.…

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Game 33: Sabathia vs. Colome

Welcome to tonight’s game thread. Here are the lineups:

New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays
Brett Gardner, LF Brandon Guyer, CF
Carlos Beltran, RF Steven Souza, RF
Alex Rodriguez, DH Evan Longoria, 3B
Mark Teixeira, 1B Logan Forsythe, DH
Brian McCann, C Joey Butler, LF
Chase Headley, 3B James Loney, 1B
Chris Young, CF Asdrubal Cabrera, SS
Stephen Drew, 2B Tim Beckham, 2B
Didi Gregorius, SS Rene Rivera, C
CC Sabathia, SP Alex Colome, SP

Enjoy the game!

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Quick Hit: Pineda picks up AL Player of the Week Honors

MLB just announced the players of the week via Twitter, and it should come as no surprise that the Yankees’ own Michael Pineda is taking home the honors, after two lights out performances. Bryce Harper took the NL Player of the Week honors.


Pineda went 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA over fifteen innings of work. Not only did he allow just one run while scattering eleven hits, but he struck out an impressive 22 batters while walking just one. It’s worth pointing out that the one walk was not in the game where Pineda struck out sixteen Orioles.

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Is There Hope For Carlos Beltran?

Courtesy: Paul J. Bereswilly/ NY Post

Courtesy: Paul J. Bereswilly/ NY Post

The big story coming out of yesterday’s New York Yankees victory was the spectacular Mothers Day show put on by Michael Pineda, as he struck out an incredible 16 Baltimore Orioles in a 6-2 win.

However, it was no secret coming into the year that Pineda was going to be awesome if he stayed on the mound, so what he’s done is really no surprise. Perhaps a bigger deal yesterday — and so far through 10 days of May — is that Carlos Beltran might not be dead after all.

Beltran almost homered in his first two at-bats yesterday when his first inning hit was only a few feet from going over the fence. He tied the game 1-1 with his first home run of the season in the fourth inning and walked in his final two at-bats. This was coming after a RBI single on Saturday and a big two-run double on Friday. Beltran is hitting .313/.353/.531/.884 with a 144 wRC+ so far in May.…

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Prospects Who’s Not: April

sanchezInstead of today’s farm report, I’m bringing you the prospects who are not performing at their expected or hoped for levels. In case you missed it, I did a similar list of those prospects who started 2015 hot last week.

Austin Romine (Scranton): Romine went from competing for the backup position in the Bronx during Spring Training back to Triple-A, where he has struggled to show the Yankees they made a mistake in giving the spot to John Ryan Murphy. In fourteen games in April, Romine hit .192/.288/.365. He isn’t hitting much at all, but when he connects he is making a difference. Of his ten hits in April, seven were extra base hits (six doubles and a homer). He picked up six RBIs and drew six walks as well.

Tyler Austin (Scranton): Austin really struggled at the plate in April, hitting .213/.238/.275. He had just one homer and two doubles. Perhaps most telling is his 22 strikeouts, with only three walks.…

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Thoughts on a day that should be an off day but isn’t

You guys know the drill by now. Buckle up.

  • Seriously, what the hell kind of a schedule is this?
  • The Yankees’ last off day was April 30.
  • Their next one is May 18.
  • They play the next four in Tampa because back-to-back four-game series against division rivals are really great and not annoying at all.
  • Then they head out to Kansas City for a three-gamer this weekend for one of those rare non-Divisional series.
  • They have the off day on May 18, plays the Nats for two games in D.C. and then have another off day on May 21 before starting a series at home against the Rangers.
  • What crack addict made this schedule? Seriously.
  • It’s ridiculous.
  • I’d be even more annoyed if the Yankees weren’t currently 20-12 and sitting atop the American League East standings.
  • Enough bitching about the schedule. How about Big Mike?
  • 46.1 innings – three walks and 54 strikeouts. Holy moly.
  • Yesterday’s performance was amazing.
  • I think it would be perfectly acceptable to call him the ace of the staff.
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