This would normally be the point in the preview where I tell you something like “hey, they’re getting lucky. Here are some complicated, impenetrable numbers that I will tell you mean that they’re getting lucky, and you should just believe me when I say that because I’m a guy with a computer.” Here’s my usual progression in graphic form, courtesy of Graham MacAree and SBNation:
But I don’t feel like doing that song-and-dance today (and yes, this is because the 97-degree Spanish heat has fried my brain, thanks for asking).
Instead, here’s a list of things that the Orioles are doing correctly:
- Hitting the ball hard. Adam Jones, Matt Weiters, and Nolan Reimold all have wOBAs over .387. Yikes.
- Jason Hammel.
- Realizing that Mark Reynolds is pretty much just the worst, and finally platooning him.
- Not giving up home runs. Only one of their starters (Tommy Hunter) has a HR/FB rate higher than the ML average (around 12-14%–Jake Arrieta is at 14%).